**Recent official forecasts and observational data position 32°C as the leading outcome for Lucknow's daily maximum temperature on September 18, 2026.** Lingering monsoon moisture, elevated humidity near 80%, and afternoon cloud development with light drizzle potential are capping radiative heating and preventing stronger afternoon warming. Multiple models, including those aligned with India Meteorological Department guidance, show morning clearing followed by overcast conditions and scattered showers that limit the peak, consistent with the market's 63.5% implied probability for 32°C and lower odds for 33°C or higher. Recent thunderstorms on September 17 delivered localized cooling and high dew points that further moderate extremes, aligning with typical late-September climatology where averages hover near 33°C but cloud-rain episodes frequently suppress readings. Traders appear to weigh these near-term dynamical factors heavily against any late-day clearing that could allow a brief push toward 33–34°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 18?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 18?
32°C 60%
33°C 17%
31°C 16%
30°C 2.9%
$17,495 ปริมาณ
$17,495 ปริมาณ
Sep 18, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
16%
32°C
60%
33°C
17%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 60%
33°C 17%
31°C 16%
30°C 2.9%
$17,495 ปริมาณ
$17,495 ปริมาณ
Sep 18, 2026
27°C or below
$219 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$169 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$169 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$345 ปริมาณ
3%
31°C
$804 ปริมาณ
16%
32°C
$3,146 ปริมาณ
60%
33°C
$7,666 ปริมาณ
17%
34°C
$3,164 ปริมาณ
2%
35°C
$1,155 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C
$300 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C or higher
$356 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts and observational data position 32°C as the leading outcome for Lucknow's daily maximum temperature on September 18, 2026.** Lingering monsoon moisture, elevated humidity near 80%, and afternoon cloud development with light drizzle potential are capping radiative heating and preventing stronger afternoon warming. Multiple models, including those aligned with India Meteorological Department guidance, show morning clearing followed by overcast conditions and scattered showers that limit the peak, consistent with the market's 63.5% implied probability for 32°C and lower odds for 33°C or higher. Recent thunderstorms on September 17 delivered localized cooling and high dew points that further moderate extremes, aligning with typical late-September climatology where averages hover near 33°C but cloud-rain episodes frequently suppress readings. Traders appear to weigh these near-term dynamical factors heavily against any late-day clearing that could allow a brief push toward 33–34°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,495วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts and observational data position 32°C as the leading outcome for Lucknow's daily maximum temperature on September 18, 2026.** Lingering monsoon moisture, elevated humidity near 80%, and afternoon cloud development with light drizzle potential are capping radiative heating and preventing stronger afternoon warming. Multiple models, including those aligned with India Meteorological Department guidance, show morning clearing followed by overcast conditions and scattered showers that limit the peak, consistent with the market's 63.5% implied probability for 32°C and lower odds for 33°C or higher. Recent thunderstorms on September 17 delivered localized cooling and high dew points that further moderate extremes, aligning with typical late-September climatology where averages hover near 33°C but cloud-rain episodes frequently suppress readings. Traders appear to weigh these near-term dynamical factors heavily against any late-day clearing that could allow a brief push toward 33–34°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,495วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official forecasts and observational data position 32°C as the leading outcome for Lucknow's daily maximum temperature on September 18, 2026.** Lingering monsoon moisture, elevated humidity near 80%, and afternoon cloud development with light drizzle potential are capping radiative heating and preventing stronger afternoon warming. Multiple models, including those aligned with India Meteorological Department guidance, show morning clearing followed by overcast conditions and scattered showers that limit the peak, consistent with the market's 63.5% implied probability for 32°C and lower odds for 33°C or higher. Recent thunderstorms on September 17 delivered localized cooling and high dew points that further moderate extremes, aligning with typical late-September climatology where averages hover near 33°C but cloud-rain episodes frequently suppress readings. Traders appear to weigh these near-term dynamical factors heavily against any late-day clearing that could allow a brief push toward 33–34°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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