Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from global models show Beijing's September 18 daytime maximum likely peaking near 28–29 °C under increasing cloud cover, light easterly flow, and modest moisture return that limits surface heating. Forecast guidance places the most probable range between 27–30 °C, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 29 °C, 28 °C, and 30 °C. Recent runs indicate a slight downward revision from earlier warmer solutions as mid-level subsidence weakens and scattered showers become possible by afternoon. This narrow spread around late-summer climatological norms, combined with typical model uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing, anchors trader positioning ahead of the final observational data release.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Beijing on September 18?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 18?
29°C 39%
28°C 25%
30°C 22%
27°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 18, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
11%
28°C
25%
29°C
39%
30°C
22%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 39%
28°C 25%
30°C 22%
27°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 18, 2026
23°C or below
$536 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$1,454 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$799 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$395 ปริมาณ
3%
27°C
$1,177 ปริมาณ
11%
28°C
$1,253 ปริมาณ
25%
29°C
$1,393 ปริมาณ
39%
30°C
$936 ปริมาณ
22%
31°C
$429 ปริมาณ
5%
32°C
$315 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C or higher
$337 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from global models show Beijing's September 18 daytime maximum likely peaking near 28–29 °C under increasing cloud cover, light easterly flow, and modest moisture return that limits surface heating. Forecast guidance places the most probable range between 27–30 °C, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 29 °C, 28 °C, and 30 °C. Recent runs indicate a slight downward revision from earlier warmer solutions as mid-level subsidence weakens and scattered showers become possible by afternoon. This narrow spread around late-summer climatological norms, combined with typical model uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing, anchors trader positioning ahead of the final observational data release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,023วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from global models show Beijing's September 18 daytime maximum likely peaking near 28–29 °C under increasing cloud cover, light easterly flow, and modest moisture return that limits surface heating. Forecast guidance places the most probable range between 27–30 °C, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 29 °C, 28 °C, and 30 °C. Recent runs indicate a slight downward revision from earlier warmer solutions as mid-level subsidence weakens and scattered showers become possible by afternoon. This narrow spread around late-summer climatological norms, combined with typical model uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing, anchors trader positioning ahead of the final observational data release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,023วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from global models show Beijing's September 18 daytime maximum likely peaking near 28–29 °C under increasing cloud cover, light easterly flow, and modest moisture return that limits surface heating. Forecast guidance places the most probable range between 27–30 °C, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 29 °C, 28 °C, and 30 °C. Recent runs indicate a slight downward revision from earlier warmer solutions as mid-level subsidence weakens and scattered showers become possible by afternoon. This narrow spread around late-summer climatological norms, combined with typical model uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing, anchors trader positioning ahead of the final observational data release.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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