**Official IMD forecasts for Lucknow stations project a maximum temperature of 35°C on September 20 under mainly clear skies, with minimums around 27°C and light winds.** This aligns with post-monsoon conditions featuring reduced cloud cover and typical late-September warming across Uttar Pradesh. However, market-implied odds heavily favor 33°C (49.5%) and 34°C (37.5%), reflecting trader assessment of recent observational trends, possible model adjustments showing slightly lower highs (e.g., some international forecasts near 33°C), and uncertainty in exact peak readings amid variable humidity and localized effects. Historical September maxima in the region often cluster near 34–36°C, but fresh data releases or real-time station reports could shift probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 20?
33°C 50%
34°C 37%
32°C 10%
35°C 6%
$10,828 ปริมาณ
$10,828 ปริมาณ
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
10%
33°C
50%
34°C
37%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 50%
34°C 37%
32°C 10%
35°C 6%
$10,828 ปริมาณ
$10,828 ปริมาณ
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
10%
33°C
50%
34°C
37%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Official IMD forecasts for Lucknow stations project a maximum temperature of 35°C on September 20 under mainly clear skies, with minimums around 27°C and light winds.** This aligns with post-monsoon conditions featuring reduced cloud cover and typical late-September warming across Uttar Pradesh. However, market-implied odds heavily favor 33°C (49.5%) and 34°C (37.5%), reflecting trader assessment of recent observational trends, possible model adjustments showing slightly lower highs (e.g., some international forecasts near 33°C), and uncertainty in exact peak readings amid variable humidity and localized effects. Historical September maxima in the region often cluster near 34–36°C, but fresh data releases or real-time station reports could shift probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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