Northeast monsoon flow over the South China coast is the dominant driver keeping trader consensus split between 31°C and 32°C for Hong Kong’s September 11 maximum, with official Hong Kong Observatory guidance forecasting 25–31°C under mostly clear, dry conditions and low rain probability. Recent model runs show modest divergence in boundary-layer mixing and wind strength, with northeast flow at 4–5 on the Beaufort scale suppressing cloud cover yet limiting peak heating compared with typical September climatology. Private forecasts reaching 32–33°C reflect slightly warmer solutions in some ensemble members, while the 30°C outcome remains plausible if onshore flow strengthens. The market’s tight spread between the top two outcomes underscores genuine uncertainty in the final observed maximum, with resolution hinging on Hong Kong Observatory station readings tomorrow.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?
31°C 36%
32°C 34%
30°C 18%
33°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 11, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
18%
31°C
36%
32°C
34%
33°C
10%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 36%
32°C 34%
30°C 18%
33°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 11, 2026
26°C or below
$167 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$13 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$379 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$393 ปริมาณ
3%
30°C
$295 ปริมาณ
18%
31°C
$105 ปริมาณ
36%
32°C
$413 ปริมาณ
34%
33°C
$194 ปริมาณ
10%
34°C
$25 ปริมาณ
1%
35°C
$31 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C or higher
$117 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow over the South China coast is the dominant driver keeping trader consensus split between 31°C and 32°C for Hong Kong’s September 11 maximum, with official Hong Kong Observatory guidance forecasting 25–31°C under mostly clear, dry conditions and low rain probability. Recent model runs show modest divergence in boundary-layer mixing and wind strength, with northeast flow at 4–5 on the Beaufort scale suppressing cloud cover yet limiting peak heating compared with typical September climatology. Private forecasts reaching 32–33°C reflect slightly warmer solutions in some ensemble members, while the 30°C outcome remains plausible if onshore flow strengthens. The market’s tight spread between the top two outcomes underscores genuine uncertainty in the final observed maximum, with resolution hinging on Hong Kong Observatory station readings tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,132วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow over the South China coast is the dominant driver keeping trader consensus split between 31°C and 32°C for Hong Kong’s September 11 maximum, with official Hong Kong Observatory guidance forecasting 25–31°C under mostly clear, dry conditions and low rain probability. Recent model runs show modest divergence in boundary-layer mixing and wind strength, with northeast flow at 4–5 on the Beaufort scale suppressing cloud cover yet limiting peak heating compared with typical September climatology. Private forecasts reaching 32–33°C reflect slightly warmer solutions in some ensemble members, while the 30°C outcome remains plausible if onshore flow strengthens. The market’s tight spread between the top two outcomes underscores genuine uncertainty in the final observed maximum, with resolution hinging on Hong Kong Observatory station readings tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,132วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Northeast monsoon flow over the South China coast is the dominant driver keeping trader consensus split between 31°C and 32°C for Hong Kong’s September 11 maximum, with official Hong Kong Observatory guidance forecasting 25–31°C under mostly clear, dry conditions and low rain probability. Recent model runs show modest divergence in boundary-layer mixing and wind strength, with northeast flow at 4–5 on the Beaufort scale suppressing cloud cover yet limiting peak heating compared with typical September climatology. Private forecasts reaching 32–33°C reflect slightly warmer solutions in some ensemble members, while the 30°C outcome remains plausible if onshore flow strengthens. The market’s tight spread between the top two outcomes underscores genuine uncertainty in the final observed maximum, with resolution hinging on Hong Kong Observatory station readings tomorrow.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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