Traders assign near-certain probability to a Karachi high of 36°C or above on September 12 because multiple forecast models and observational trends show daytime maxima climbing well into the upper 30s Celsius amid typical late-summer conditions. Persistent clear skies, light westerly winds, and high humidity reduce nocturnal cooling while allowing strong daytime insolation to drive temperatures past historical September averages of 33–35°C. Official monitoring indicates minimal cloud cover or monsoon influence today, supporting rapid surface heating. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in cloudiness, localized thunderstorms, or a sharper-than-expected shift in steering winds that caps the peak below the 36°C threshold before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Karachi on September 12?
36°C or higher 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$21,019 ปริมาณ
$21,019 ปริมาณ
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
Yes
36°C or higher 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$21,019 ปริมาณ
$21,019 ปริมาณ
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 10, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Traders assign near-certain probability to a Karachi high of 36°C or above on September 12 because multiple forecast models and observational trends show daytime maxima climbing well into the upper 30s Celsius amid typical late-summer conditions. Persistent clear skies, light westerly winds, and high humidity reduce nocturnal cooling while allowing strong daytime insolation to drive temperatures past historical September averages of 33–35°C. Official monitoring indicates minimal cloud cover or monsoon influence today, supporting rapid surface heating. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in cloudiness, localized thunderstorms, or a sharper-than-expected shift in steering winds that caps the peak below the 36°C threshold before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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