Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 20–21°C for Amsterdam on September 25 under clear to mostly clear skies, southerly flow, and high pressure, positioning these outcomes as market leaders with combined implied probability near 44%. Late-September climatology favors gradual cooling from peak summer warmth, with historical averages around 18°C and rare excursions above 23°C, though recent model runs show slightly warmer-than-normal conditions persisting into the weekend. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 20–22°C against typical forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature resolution, with any last-minute shifts in cloud cover or wind direction potentially altering the daily peak before official KNMI verification.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 25?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 25?
22°C 46%
21°C 29%
20°C 16%
19°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 25, 2026
16°C or below
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
4%
19°C
8%
20°C
16%
21°C
29%
22°C
46%
23°C
7%
24°C
5%
25°C
6%
26°C or higher
6%
22°C 46%
21°C 29%
20°C 16%
19°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 25, 2026
16°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
18°C
$8 ปริมาณ
4%
19°C
$70 ปริมาณ
8%
20°C
$77 ปริมาณ
16%
21°C
$100 ปริมาณ
29%
22°C
$450 ปริมาณ
46%
23°C
$259 ปริมาณ
7%
24°C
$105 ปริมาณ
5%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
26°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 20–21°C for Amsterdam on September 25 under clear to mostly clear skies, southerly flow, and high pressure, positioning these outcomes as market leaders with combined implied probability near 44%. Late-September climatology favors gradual cooling from peak summer warmth, with historical averages around 18°C and rare excursions above 23°C, though recent model runs show slightly warmer-than-normal conditions persisting into the weekend. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 20–22°C against typical forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature resolution, with any last-minute shifts in cloud cover or wind direction potentially altering the daily peak before official KNMI verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,069วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 20–21°C for Amsterdam on September 25 under clear to mostly clear skies, southerly flow, and high pressure, positioning these outcomes as market leaders with combined implied probability near 44%. Late-September climatology favors gradual cooling from peak summer warmth, with historical averages around 18°C and rare excursions above 23°C, though recent model runs show slightly warmer-than-normal conditions persisting into the weekend. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 20–22°C against typical forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature resolution, with any last-minute shifts in cloud cover or wind direction potentially altering the daily peak before official KNMI verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,069วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 20–21°C for Amsterdam on September 25 under clear to mostly clear skies, southerly flow, and high pressure, positioning these outcomes as market leaders with combined implied probability near 44%. Late-September climatology favors gradual cooling from peak summer warmth, with historical averages around 18°C and rare excursions above 23°C, though recent model runs show slightly warmer-than-normal conditions persisting into the weekend. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 20–22°C against typical forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature resolution, with any last-minute shifts in cloud cover or wind direction potentially altering the daily peak before official KNMI verification.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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