Traders see a tight contest for the Democratic nomination odds leader by October 31, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, and Gavin Newsom clustered near the top amid shifting early positioning. Recent statements from potential contenders, including Ocasio-Cortez keeping her options open after the midterms and Newsom signaling he would defer if Kamala Harris enters, have kept the field fluid without a dominant favorite emerging. National polls show Harris often ahead but with support eroding in some surveys, while prediction market volumes reflect ongoing adjustments based on candidate signals and polling volatility. Developments such as post-midterm announcements, new primary polling releases, or shifts in Senate or gubernatorial positioning could quickly widen gaps among the leaders before the end of October.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez 51%
Jon Ossoff 34%
Gavin Newsom 14%
Josh Shapiro 3.8%

Jon Ossoff
34%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
51%

Gavin Newsom
14%

Kamala Harris
2%

Josh Shapiro
4%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 51%
Jon Ossoff 34%
Gavin Newsom 14%
Josh Shapiro 3.8%

Jon Ossoff
34%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
51%

Gavin Newsom
14%

Kamala Harris
2%

Josh Shapiro
4%
An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph on that option's detail page. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent).
If PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes "NO_PRINT" for an option for the specified window, that option's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used. If PredictionMarketOdds.com has not published anything for the specified window for an option (neither an hourly odds value nor "NO_PRINT"), this market will remain open until a value or "NO_PRINT" for that window is published, and may remain open until November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET for that purpose. If nothing has been published for the specified window by that time, that option's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used. An option with no hourly odds value published in that period will not be considered.
If two or more options are tied for the highest value, the tie will be broken in favor of the tied option with the higher value in the most recent earlier window in which their values differed. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied option whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed end date, this market will resolve in favor of the outcome of the underlying market if it is a listed outcome, and otherwise to "Other".
If a published hourly odds value is clearly erroneous as a result of a technical or operational error, this market may remain open for up to an additional 48 hours after that value is first published to allow for a correction. A corrected value will be used in place of the original. If no correction is published within that period, the original value will stand, and revisions published after that period will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is PredictionMarketOdds.com, specifically the hourly odds values for the options in the "2028 Democratic Nomination" listing at https://predictionmarketodds.com/dem-nomination-2028.html and on each option's detail page, reached by clicking the option's name in the listing. Prices shown on any individual prediction market will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 22, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph on that option's detail page. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent).
If PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes "NO_PRINT" for an option for the specified window, that option's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used. If PredictionMarketOdds.com has not published anything for the specified window for an option (neither an hourly odds value nor "NO_PRINT"), this market will remain open until a value or "NO_PRINT" for that window is published, and may remain open until November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET for that purpose. If nothing has been published for the specified window by that time, that option's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used. An option with no hourly odds value published in that period will not be considered.
If two or more options are tied for the highest value, the tie will be broken in favor of the tied option with the higher value in the most recent earlier window in which their values differed. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied option whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed end date, this market will resolve in favor of the outcome of the underlying market if it is a listed outcome, and otherwise to "Other".
If a published hourly odds value is clearly erroneous as a result of a technical or operational error, this market may remain open for up to an additional 48 hours after that value is first published to allow for a correction. A corrected value will be used in place of the original. If no correction is published within that period, the original value will stand, and revisions published after that period will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is PredictionMarketOdds.com, specifically the hourly odds values for the options in the "2028 Democratic Nomination" listing at https://predictionmarketodds.com/dem-nomination-2028.html and on each option's detail page, reached by clicking the option's name in the listing. Prices shown on any individual prediction market will not be considered.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Traders see a tight contest for the Democratic nomination odds leader by October 31, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, and Gavin Newsom clustered near the top amid shifting early positioning. Recent statements from potential contenders, including Ocasio-Cortez keeping her options open after the midterms and Newsom signaling he would defer if Kamala Harris enters, have kept the field fluid without a dominant favorite emerging. National polls show Harris often ahead but with support eroding in some surveys, while prediction market volumes reflect ongoing adjustments based on candidate signals and polling volatility. Developments such as post-midterm announcements, new primary polling releases, or shifts in Senate or gubernatorial positioning could quickly widen gaps among the leaders before the end of October.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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