Julieta Ramírez Padilla leads the Baja California governor market at 69.5% after Morena and the PVEM designated her on September 15, 2026, as coordinator of the Defense of the Transformation for the June 6, 2027, election. Internal party surveys and public polls throughout 2026 consistently placed the senator with license ahead of other Morena aspirants, including Ismael Burgueño Ruiz and Alfredo Álvarez Cárdenas, by wide margins. The selection consolidated support within the dominant coalition despite the PT opting for an independent path. Opposition figures such as Gina Cruz Blackledge and Gustavo de Hoyos Walther remain at single-digit or lower implied probabilities, reflecting Morena’s sustained polling advantage of roughly 20 points over the PAN and other parties in the state. The timeline to the vote and any further coalition adjustments could still influence trader positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วJulieta Ramírez Padilla 78.8%
Ismael Burgueño Ruiz 4.6%
Gina Cruz Blackledge 1.0%
Montserrat Caballero Ramírez <1%
$45,750 ปริมาณ
$45,750 ปริมาณ
Julieta Ramírez Padilla
79%
Ismael Burgueño Ruiz
5%
Gina Cruz Blackledge
1%
Montserrat Caballero Ramírez
1%
Fernando Castro Trenti
<1%
Evangelina Moreno Guerra
<1%
Juan Carlos Hank
<1%
Adrián Humberto Valle Ballesteros
<1%
Gustavo de Hoyos Walther
<1%
Ana Daniela García Salgado
<1%
Jesús Alejandro Ruiz Uribe
<1%
Jorge Ramos Hernández
<1%
Héctor Osuna Jaime
<1%
Guadalupe Gutiérrez Fregoso
<1%
Víctor Galicia
<1%
Daylín García Ruvalcaba
<1%
Armando Ayala Robles
<1%
Alfredo Álvarez Cárdenas
<1%
Joel Anselmo Jiménez Vega
<1%
Gustavo Macalpin
<1%
Karla Ruiz Macfarland
<1%
Julieta Ramírez Padilla 78.8%
Ismael Burgueño Ruiz 4.6%
Gina Cruz Blackledge 1.0%
Montserrat Caballero Ramírez <1%
$45,750 ปริมาณ
$45,750 ปริมาณ
Julieta Ramírez Padilla
79%
Ismael Burgueño Ruiz
5%
Gina Cruz Blackledge
1%
Montserrat Caballero Ramírez
1%
Fernando Castro Trenti
<1%
Evangelina Moreno Guerra
<1%
Juan Carlos Hank
<1%
Adrián Humberto Valle Ballesteros
<1%
Gustavo de Hoyos Walther
<1%
Ana Daniela García Salgado
<1%
Jesús Alejandro Ruiz Uribe
<1%
Jorge Ramos Hernández
<1%
Héctor Osuna Jaime
<1%
Guadalupe Gutiérrez Fregoso
<1%
Víctor Galicia
<1%
Daylín García Ruvalcaba
<1%
Armando Ayala Robles
<1%
Alfredo Álvarez Cárdenas
<1%
Joel Anselmo Jiménez Vega
<1%
Gustavo Macalpin
<1%
Karla Ruiz Macfarland
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Julieta Ramírez Padilla leads the Baja California governor market at 69.5% after Morena and the PVEM designated her on September 15, 2026, as coordinator of the Defense of the Transformation for the June 6, 2027, election. Internal party surveys and public polls throughout 2026 consistently placed the senator with license ahead of other Morena aspirants, including Ismael Burgueño Ruiz and Alfredo Álvarez Cárdenas, by wide margins. The selection consolidated support within the dominant coalition despite the PT opting for an independent path. Opposition figures such as Gina Cruz Blackledge and Gustavo de Hoyos Walther remain at single-digit or lower implied probabilities, reflecting Morena’s sustained polling advantage of roughly 20 points over the PAN and other parties in the state. The timeline to the vote and any further coalition adjustments could still influence trader positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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