Eli Crane holds a clear edge in the AZ-02 race as the Republican incumbent in a district with an R+7 partisan lean that includes rural northeastern Arizona and substantial tribal lands. Recent polling from August shows Crane ahead by margins of 2 to 11 points, consistent with his 2024 general-election performance and stronger fundraising totals exceeding $9 million compared with Nez’s roughly $3.5 million. Nez, the former Navajo Nation president and 2024 nominee, benefits from high name recognition and targeted outreach to the district’s 20% Native American population on issues such as Colorado River water shortages and rural infrastructure. Crane’s decision to skip a September 10 Clean Elections forum gave Nez a solo platform but has not shifted the overall positioning. Most independent forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican, aligning with the current trader consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Eli Crane (R)
69%
Jonathan Nez (D)
30%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Eli Crane (R)
$2,134 ปริมาณ
69%
Jonathan Nez (D)
$1,474 ปริมาณ
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Eli Crane holds a clear edge in the AZ-02 race as the Republican incumbent in a district with an R+7 partisan lean that includes rural northeastern Arizona and substantial tribal lands. Recent polling from August shows Crane ahead by margins of 2 to 11 points, consistent with his 2024 general-election performance and stronger fundraising totals exceeding $9 million compared with Nez’s roughly $3.5 million. Nez, the former Navajo Nation president and 2024 nominee, benefits from high name recognition and targeted outreach to the district’s 20% Native American population on issues such as Colorado River water shortages and rural infrastructure. Crane’s decision to skip a September 10 Clean Elections forum gave Nez a solo platform but has not shifted the overall positioning. Most independent forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican, aligning with the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,608วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Eli Crane holds a clear edge in the AZ-02 race as the Republican incumbent in a district with an R+7 partisan lean that includes rural northeastern Arizona and substantial tribal lands. Recent polling from August shows Crane ahead by margins of 2 to 11 points, consistent with his 2024 general-election performance and stronger fundraising totals exceeding $9 million compared with Nez’s roughly $3.5 million. Nez, the former Navajo Nation president and 2024 nominee, benefits from high name recognition and targeted outreach to the district’s 20% Native American population on issues such as Colorado River water shortages and rural infrastructure. Crane’s decision to skip a September 10 Clean Elections forum gave Nez a solo platform but has not shifted the overall positioning. Most independent forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican, aligning with the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,608วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Eli Crane holds a clear edge in the AZ-02 race as the Republican incumbent in a district with an R+7 partisan lean that includes rural northeastern Arizona and substantial tribal lands. Recent polling from August shows Crane ahead by margins of 2 to 11 points, consistent with his 2024 general-election performance and stronger fundraising totals exceeding $9 million compared with Nez’s roughly $3.5 million. Nez, the former Navajo Nation president and 2024 nominee, benefits from high name recognition and targeted outreach to the district’s 20% Native American population on issues such as Colorado River water shortages and rural infrastructure. Crane’s decision to skip a September 10 Clean Elections forum gave Nez a solo platform but has not shifted the overall positioning. Most independent forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican, aligning with the current trader consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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