Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton holds a commanding position in the 2026 Arkansas Senate race due to the state's strong Republican lean, where Donald Trump won by over 30 points in 2024 and Democrats have not secured a Senate seat since 2008. Cotton secured the Republican nomination with 81.6% in the March primary and benefits from consistent polling leads of 6 to 16 points or more, along with endorsements such as the NRA's "A" rating. Challenger Hallie Shoffner, who won her primary with 78.3%, faces structural headwinds as a first-time Democratic candidate in a state with limited recent support for her party. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with forecasts rating the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as national political shifts, major scandals, or health events could still influence outcomes before the November 3 election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วArkansas Senate Election Winner
Arkansas Senate Election Winner
$17,081 ปริมาณ
$17,081 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Tom Cotton (R)
94%
Hallie Shoffner (D)
5%
$17,081 ปริมาณ
$17,081 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Tom Cotton (R)
$12,595 ปริมาณ
94%
Hallie Shoffner (D)
$4,486 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton holds a commanding position in the 2026 Arkansas Senate race due to the state's strong Republican lean, where Donald Trump won by over 30 points in 2024 and Democrats have not secured a Senate seat since 2008. Cotton secured the Republican nomination with 81.6% in the March primary and benefits from consistent polling leads of 6 to 16 points or more, along with endorsements such as the NRA's "A" rating. Challenger Hallie Shoffner, who won her primary with 78.3%, faces structural headwinds as a first-time Democratic candidate in a state with limited recent support for her party. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with forecasts rating the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as national political shifts, major scandals, or health events could still influence outcomes before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,081วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton holds a commanding position in the 2026 Arkansas Senate race due to the state's strong Republican lean, where Donald Trump won by over 30 points in 2024 and Democrats have not secured a Senate seat since 2008. Cotton secured the Republican nomination with 81.6% in the March primary and benefits from consistent polling leads of 6 to 16 points or more, along with endorsements such as the NRA's "A" rating. Challenger Hallie Shoffner, who won her primary with 78.3%, faces structural headwinds as a first-time Democratic candidate in a state with limited recent support for her party. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with forecasts rating the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as national political shifts, major scandals, or health events could still influence outcomes before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,081วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton holds a commanding position in the 2026 Arkansas Senate race due to the state's strong Republican lean, where Donald Trump won by over 30 points in 2024 and Democrats have not secured a Senate seat since 2008. Cotton secured the Republican nomination with 81.6% in the March primary and benefits from consistent polling leads of 6 to 16 points or more, along with endorsements such as the NRA's "A" rating. Challenger Hallie Shoffner, who won her primary with 78.3%, faces structural headwinds as a first-time Democratic candidate in a state with limited recent support for her party. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with forecasts rating the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as national political shifts, major scandals, or health events could still influence outcomes before the November 3 election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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