Tennessee's solidly Republican electorate, demonstrated by consistent double-digit margins in recent Senate contests, underpins trader consensus favoring incumbent Bill Hagerty at 96.4% implied probability. Hagerty secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the August primary while Democrat Marquita Bradshaw, the 2020 nominee in a rematch, prevailed in her party's primary but faces structural disadvantages including limited fundraising and the state's partisan voting patterns. All major forecasting outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. A challenge to Hagerty's position would require substantial shifts in voter turnout, late national political realignments, or unforeseen developments that alter the state's baseline Republican advantage.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTennessee Senate Election Winner
Tennessee Senate Election Winner
$29,907 ปริมาณ
$29,907 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Bill Hagerty (R)
96%
Marquita Bradshaw (D)
4%
$29,907 ปริมาณ
$29,907 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Bill Hagerty (R)
$19,518 ปริมาณ
96%
Marquita Bradshaw (D)
$10,390 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's solidly Republican electorate, demonstrated by consistent double-digit margins in recent Senate contests, underpins trader consensus favoring incumbent Bill Hagerty at 96.4% implied probability. Hagerty secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the August primary while Democrat Marquita Bradshaw, the 2020 nominee in a rematch, prevailed in her party's primary but faces structural disadvantages including limited fundraising and the state's partisan voting patterns. All major forecasting outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. A challenge to Hagerty's position would require substantial shifts in voter turnout, late national political realignments, or unforeseen developments that alter the state's baseline Republican advantage.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,907วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's solidly Republican electorate, demonstrated by consistent double-digit margins in recent Senate contests, underpins trader consensus favoring incumbent Bill Hagerty at 96.4% implied probability. Hagerty secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the August primary while Democrat Marquita Bradshaw, the 2020 nominee in a rematch, prevailed in her party's primary but faces structural disadvantages including limited fundraising and the state's partisan voting patterns. All major forecasting outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. A challenge to Hagerty's position would require substantial shifts in voter turnout, late national political realignments, or unforeseen developments that alter the state's baseline Republican advantage.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,907วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's solidly Republican electorate, demonstrated by consistent double-digit margins in recent Senate contests, underpins trader consensus favoring incumbent Bill Hagerty at 96.4% implied probability. Hagerty secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the August primary while Democrat Marquita Bradshaw, the 2020 nominee in a rematch, prevailed in her party's primary but faces structural disadvantages including limited fundraising and the state's partisan voting patterns. All major forecasting outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. A challenge to Hagerty's position would require substantial shifts in voter turnout, late national political realignments, or unforeseen developments that alter the state's baseline Republican advantage.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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