Trader consensus on a 68.5% chance of House impeachment before the end of Trump’s term reflects expectations that Democrats will regain a House majority in the November 2026 midterms and control the chamber from January 2027 onward. This timeline would give the incoming majority roughly two years to advance articles of impeachment. Multiple resolutions have already been introduced citing administration actions on immigration enforcement and related agency conduct, though recent efforts, including Rep. Al Green’s September 2026 measure, were tabled with support from some Democrats who cited the need for formal investigations. Historical precedent from Trump’s first term and statements from Democratic leaders indicating openness to the process if evidence supports it further shape the pricing, while Senate conviction remains outside the market’s scope.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБудет ли Трамп подвергнут импичменту до истечения срока его полномочий?
Будет ли Трамп подвергнут импичменту до истечения срока его полномочий?
Да
69% вероятность
$102,348 Объем
$102,348 Объем
19 янв. 2029 г.
Заработай 3.25 %
Да
69% вероятность
$102,348 Объем
$102,348 Объем
19 янв. 2029 г.
Заработай 3.25 %
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus on a 68.5% chance of House impeachment before the end of Trump’s term reflects expectations that Democrats will regain a House majority in the November 2026 midterms and control the chamber from January 2027 onward. This timeline would give the incoming majority roughly two years to advance articles of impeachment. Multiple resolutions have already been introduced citing administration actions on immigration enforcement and related agency conduct, though recent efforts, including Rep. Al Green’s September 2026 measure, were tabled with support from some Democrats who cited the need for formal investigations. Historical precedent from Trump’s first term and statements from Democratic leaders indicating openness to the process if evidence supports it further shape the pricing, while Senate conviction remains outside the market’s scope.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Объем
$102,348Дата окончания
20 янв. 2029 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus on a 68.5% chance of House impeachment before the end of Trump’s term reflects expectations that Democrats will regain a House majority in the November 2026 midterms and control the chamber from January 2027 onward. This timeline would give the incoming majority roughly two years to advance articles of impeachment. Multiple resolutions have already been introduced citing administration actions on immigration enforcement and related agency conduct, though recent efforts, including Rep. Al Green’s September 2026 measure, were tabled with support from some Democrats who cited the need for formal investigations. Historical precedent from Trump’s first term and statements from Democratic leaders indicating openness to the process if evidence supports it further shape the pricing, while Senate conviction remains outside the market’s scope.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Объем
$102,348Дата окончания
20 янв. 2029 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on a 68.5% chance of House impeachment before the end of Trump’s term reflects expectations that Democrats will regain a House majority in the November 2026 midterms and control the chamber from January 2027 onward. This timeline would give the incoming majority roughly two years to advance articles of impeachment. Multiple resolutions have already been introduced citing administration actions on immigration enforcement and related agency conduct, though recent efforts, including Rep. Al Green’s September 2026 measure, were tabled with support from some Democrats who cited the need for formal investigations. Historical precedent from Trump’s first term and statements from Democratic leaders indicating openness to the process if evidence supports it further shape the pricing, while Senate conviction remains outside the market’s scope.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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