Diplomatic norms and standard protocols for U.S.-China summits limit public interactions between leaders to formal handshakes or brief ceremonial gestures, with no historical precedent or official signals indicating any departure from these conventions. Recent bilateral tensions over trade, technology, and regional security have reinforced cautious, structured engagements rather than unconventional displays. The overwhelming trader consensus aligns with these structural barriers in high-stakes diplomacy. Only extraordinary developments, such as verified health-related incidents forcing altered optics or explicit joint announcements reframing the event, could realistically shift probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
<1% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 окт. 2026 г.
Да
<1% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 окт. 2026 г.
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping kiss at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released during the calendar days (ET) of the summit to qualify.
A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory.
This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.Diplomatic norms and standard protocols for U.S.-China summits limit public interactions between leaders to formal handshakes or brief ceremonial gestures, with no historical precedent or official signals indicating any departure from these conventions. Recent bilateral tensions over trade, technology, and regional security have reinforced cautious, structured engagements rather than unconventional displays. The overwhelming trader consensus aligns with these structural barriers in high-stakes diplomacy. Only extraordinary developments, such as verified health-related incidents forcing altered optics or explicit joint announcements reframing the event, could realistically shift probabilities before resolution.
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping kiss at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released during the calendar days (ET) of the summit to qualify.
A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory.
This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping kiss at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released during the calendar days (ET) of the summit to qualify.
A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory.
This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Объем
$3,074Дата окончания
8 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 5:47 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping kiss at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released during the calendar days (ET) of the summit to qualify.
A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory.
This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.Diplomatic norms and standard protocols for U.S.-China summits limit public interactions between leaders to formal handshakes or brief ceremonial gestures, with no historical precedent or official signals indicating any departure from these conventions. Recent bilateral tensions over trade, technology, and regional security have reinforced cautious, structured engagements rather than unconventional displays. The overwhelming trader consensus aligns with these structural barriers in high-stakes diplomacy. Only extraordinary developments, such as verified health-related incidents forcing altered optics or explicit joint announcements reframing the event, could realistically shift probabilities before resolution.
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping kiss at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released during the calendar days (ET) of the summit to qualify.
A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory.
This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping kiss at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released during the calendar days (ET) of the summit to qualify.
A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory.
This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
Объем
$3,074Дата окончания
8 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 5:47 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic norms and standard protocols for U.S.-China summits limit public interactions between leaders to formal handshakes or brief ceremonial gestures, with no historical precedent or official signals indicating any departure from these conventions. Recent bilateral tensions over trade, technology, and regional security have reinforced cautious, structured engagements rather than unconventional displays. The overwhelming trader consensus aligns with these structural barriers in high-stakes diplomacy. Only extraordinary developments, such as verified health-related incidents forcing altered optics or explicit joint announcements reframing the event, could realistically shift probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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