Recent ECB and Fed policy divergence anchors EUR/USD near 1.16, with the euro supported by the ECB’s 25-basis-point deposit rate hike to 2.50% on September 10 amid energy-driven inflation above 3%. The Fed funds target at 3.50–3.75% maintains a roughly 100–125 basis point advantage for the dollar, reinforced by resilient U.S. growth and September FOMC expectations. Trader positioning reflects this spread, with consensus forecasts clustering around 1.17 by year-end 2026 and limited conviction on sharp breaks higher or lower absent clearer signals on further ECB tightening or U.S. rate path revisions. Key near-term catalysts include the September 15–16 FOMC meeting and incoming U.S. CPI data, which will shape implied probabilities for crossing major 2026 thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$89,288 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
↑ 1,40
2%
↑ 1,35
3%
↑ 1,30
6%
↑ 1,26
6%
↑ 1,24
10%
↑ 1,22
28%
↑ 1,20
32%
↓ 1,12
30%
↓ 1,10
23%
↓ 1,05
5%
↓ 1,00
4%
$89,288 Объем
↑ 1,40
$2,114 Объем
2%
↑ 1,35
$1,579 Объем
3%
↑ 1,30
$901 Объем
6%
↑ 1,26
$3,132 Объем
6%
↑ 1,24
$2,438 Объем
10%
↑ 1,22
$420 Объем
28%
↑ 1,20
$41,022 Объем
32%
↓ 1,12
$2,826 Объем
30%
↓ 1,10
$3,960 Объем
23%
↓ 1,05
$6,417 Объем
5%
↓ 1,00
$4,490 Объем
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).Recent ECB and Fed policy divergence anchors EUR/USD near 1.16, with the euro supported by the ECB’s 25-basis-point deposit rate hike to 2.50% on September 10 amid energy-driven inflation above 3%. The Fed funds target at 3.50–3.75% maintains a roughly 100–125 basis point advantage for the dollar, reinforced by resilient U.S. growth and September FOMC expectations. Trader positioning reflects this spread, with consensus forecasts clustering around 1.17 by year-end 2026 and limited conviction on sharp breaks higher or lower absent clearer signals on further ECB tightening or U.S. rate path revisions. Key near-term catalysts include the September 15–16 FOMC meeting and incoming U.S. CPI data, which will shape implied probabilities for crossing major 2026 thresholds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Открытие рынка: Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Объем
$89,288Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).Recent ECB and Fed policy divergence anchors EUR/USD near 1.16, with the euro supported by the ECB’s 25-basis-point deposit rate hike to 2.50% on September 10 amid energy-driven inflation above 3%. The Fed funds target at 3.50–3.75% maintains a roughly 100–125 basis point advantage for the dollar, reinforced by resilient U.S. growth and September FOMC expectations. Trader positioning reflects this spread, with consensus forecasts clustering around 1.17 by year-end 2026 and limited conviction on sharp breaks higher or lower absent clearer signals on further ECB tightening or U.S. rate path revisions. Key near-term catalysts include the September 15–16 FOMC meeting and incoming U.S. CPI data, which will shape implied probabilities for crossing major 2026 thresholds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Объем
$89,288Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Recent ECB and Fed policy divergence anchors EUR/USD near 1.16, with the euro supported by the ECB’s 25-basis-point deposit rate hike to 2.50% on September 10 amid energy-driven inflation above 3%. The Fed funds target at 3.50–3.75% maintains a roughly 100–125 basis point advantage for the dollar, reinforced by resilient U.S. growth and September FOMC expectations. Trader positioning reflects this spread, with consensus forecasts clustering around 1.17 by year-end 2026 and limited conviction on sharp breaks higher or lower absent clearer signals on further ECB tightening or U.S. rate path revisions. Key near-term catalysts include the September 15–16 FOMC meeting and incoming U.S. CPI data, which will shape implied probabilities for crossing major 2026 thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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