Recent statements from Turkish officials, including President Erdoğan’s advisers and parliamentary leaders, have signaled that work on a new constitution remains in early drafting stages and is unlikely to reach a referendum stage before the end of the current legislative term. Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş referenced possible adoption in 2026-2027, yet subsequent reporting in August and September 2026 indicates the project will shift to the 29th parliament after the 2028 elections, citing insufficient time and the need for broader consensus. Ongoing parliamentary focus on terror-related legislation and Kurdish reconciliation has not produced the required supermajority or formal referendum timetable for 2026. These developments align with trader consensus that no announcement will occur this year.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено17% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
17% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent statements from Turkish officials, including President Erdoğan’s advisers and parliamentary leaders, have signaled that work on a new constitution remains in early drafting stages and is unlikely to reach a referendum stage before the end of the current legislative term. Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş referenced possible adoption in 2026-2027, yet subsequent reporting in August and September 2026 indicates the project will shift to the 29th parliament after the 2028 elections, citing insufficient time and the need for broader consensus. Ongoing parliamentary focus on terror-related legislation and Kurdish reconciliation has not produced the required supermajority or formal referendum timetable for 2026. These developments align with trader consensus that no announcement will occur this year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Объем
$6,897Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent statements from Turkish officials, including President Erdoğan’s advisers and parliamentary leaders, have signaled that work on a new constitution remains in early drafting stages and is unlikely to reach a referendum stage before the end of the current legislative term. Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş referenced possible adoption in 2026-2027, yet subsequent reporting in August and September 2026 indicates the project will shift to the 29th parliament after the 2028 elections, citing insufficient time and the need for broader consensus. Ongoing parliamentary focus on terror-related legislation and Kurdish reconciliation has not produced the required supermajority or formal referendum timetable for 2026. These developments align with trader consensus that no announcement will occur this year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$6,897Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Recent statements from Turkish officials, including President Erdoğan’s advisers and parliamentary leaders, have signaled that work on a new constitution remains in early drafting stages and is unlikely to reach a referendum stage before the end of the current legislative term. Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş referenced possible adoption in 2026-2027, yet subsequent reporting in August and September 2026 indicates the project will shift to the 29th parliament after the 2028 elections, citing insufficient time and the need for broader consensus. Ongoing parliamentary focus on terror-related legislation and Kurdish reconciliation has not produced the required supermajority or formal referendum timetable for 2026. These developments align with trader consensus that no announcement will occur this year.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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