The 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election between Democrat Sherrod Brown and Republican incumbent Jon Husted remains tightly contested, with prediction market pricing reflecting near-even odds on the winner and balanced probabilities across narrow victory margins. Recent polling aggregates show Brown holding slight edges in some surveys while others indicate Husted ahead or within the margin of error, consistent with Ohio’s Republican-leaning electorate offset by Brown’s prior Senate experience and strength among certain demographics. Factors sustaining the closeness include limited separation on key issues like the economy and incumbency advantages, alongside the state’s voting patterns in recent cycles. Developments that could widen the margin include shifts in turnout among independents and older voters, major campaign events before the November 3 election, or late changes in national political conditions affecting down-ballot races.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоМаржа победы на выборах в Сенат штата Огайо
Маржа победы на выборах в Сенат штата Огайо
Демократ 0-3% 16%
Республиканец 0-3% 16%
Демократ 3-6% 15%
Республиканец 3-6% 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец 12%+
3%
Республиканец 9-12%
9%
Республиканец 6-9%
10%
Республиканец 3-6%
14%
Республиканец 0-3%
16%
Демократ 0-3%
16%
Демократ 3-6%
15%
Демократ 6–9%
10%
Демократ 9-12%
7%
Демократ 12%+
5%
Демократ 0-3% 16%
Республиканец 0-3% 16%
Демократ 3-6% 15%
Республиканец 3-6% 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец 12%+
$111 Объем
3%
Республиканец 9-12%
$105 Объем
9%
Республиканец 6-9%
$185 Объем
10%
Республиканец 3-6%
$1,740 Объем
14%
Республиканец 0-3%
$547 Объем
16%
Демократ 0-3%
$286 Объем
16%
Демократ 3-6%
$206 Объем
15%
Демократ 6–9%
$184 Объем
10%
Демократ 9-12%
$207 Объем
7%
Демократ 12%+
$143 Объем
5%
The 2026 Ohio Senate special election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Ohio Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election between Democrat Sherrod Brown and Republican incumbent Jon Husted remains tightly contested, with prediction market pricing reflecting near-even odds on the winner and balanced probabilities across narrow victory margins. Recent polling aggregates show Brown holding slight edges in some surveys while others indicate Husted ahead or within the margin of error, consistent with Ohio’s Republican-leaning electorate offset by Brown’s prior Senate experience and strength among certain demographics. Factors sustaining the closeness include limited separation on key issues like the economy and incumbency advantages, alongside the state’s voting patterns in recent cycles. Developments that could widen the margin include shifts in turnout among independents and older voters, major campaign events before the November 3 election, or late changes in national political conditions affecting down-ballot races.
The 2026 Ohio Senate special election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Ohio Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Ohio Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Объем
$3,714Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Ohio Senate special election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Ohio Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election between Democrat Sherrod Brown and Republican incumbent Jon Husted remains tightly contested, with prediction market pricing reflecting near-even odds on the winner and balanced probabilities across narrow victory margins. Recent polling aggregates show Brown holding slight edges in some surveys while others indicate Husted ahead or within the margin of error, consistent with Ohio’s Republican-leaning electorate offset by Brown’s prior Senate experience and strength among certain demographics. Factors sustaining the closeness include limited separation on key issues like the economy and incumbency advantages, alongside the state’s voting patterns in recent cycles. Developments that could widen the margin include shifts in turnout among independents and older voters, major campaign events before the November 3 election, or late changes in national political conditions affecting down-ballot races.
The 2026 Ohio Senate special election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Ohio Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Ohio Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$3,714Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election between Democrat Sherrod Brown and Republican incumbent Jon Husted remains tightly contested, with prediction market pricing reflecting near-even odds on the winner and balanced probabilities across narrow victory margins. Recent polling aggregates show Brown holding slight edges in some surveys while others indicate Husted ahead or within the margin of error, consistent with Ohio’s Republican-leaning electorate offset by Brown’s prior Senate experience and strength among certain demographics. Factors sustaining the closeness include limited separation on key issues like the economy and incumbency advantages, alongside the state’s voting patterns in recent cycles. Developments that could widen the margin include shifts in turnout among independents and older voters, major campaign events before the November 3 election, or late changes in national political conditions affecting down-ballot races.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Победит ли кандидат от Демократической партии на выборах губернатора Огайо в 2026 году с перевесом 0%-3%?
28%
Да
Выиграет ли кандидат Демократической партии выборы в Палату представителей по округу OH-01 в 2026 году с разницей в 15%-18%?
25%
Да
Выиграет ли кандидат от Республиканской партии выборы в Палату представителей по округу OH-06 в 2026 году с преимуществом в 20-25%?
19%
Да
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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