Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a strong position in Ohio’s 15th Congressional District, a suburban Columbus area with a Republican-leaning partisan voting index and consistent GOP victories in recent cycles, including his 2024 reelection by double digits. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s composition of western and southern suburbs plus rural counties. Carey’s substantial fundraising lead—over $3 million raised with more than $2 million cash on hand—contrasts with Democrat Don Leonard’s more limited resources following his narrow May primary win. Leonard’s nomination over former candidate Adam Miller has not altered the underlying dynamics, leaving limited paths for a Democratic upset absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions before the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей OH-15
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей OH-15
$12,672 Объем
$12,672 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Майк Кэри (Р)
78%
Дон Леонард (Д)
21%
$12,672 Объем
$12,672 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Майк Кэри (Р)
$4,947 Объем
78%
Дон Леонард (Д)
$7,725 Объем
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a strong position in Ohio’s 15th Congressional District, a suburban Columbus area with a Republican-leaning partisan voting index and consistent GOP victories in recent cycles, including his 2024 reelection by double digits. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s composition of western and southern suburbs plus rural counties. Carey’s substantial fundraising lead—over $3 million raised with more than $2 million cash on hand—contrasts with Democrat Don Leonard’s more limited resources following his narrow May primary win. Leonard’s nomination over former candidate Adam Miller has not altered the underlying dynamics, leaving limited paths for a Democratic upset absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$12,672Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a strong position in Ohio’s 15th Congressional District, a suburban Columbus area with a Republican-leaning partisan voting index and consistent GOP victories in recent cycles, including his 2024 reelection by double digits. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s composition of western and southern suburbs plus rural counties. Carey’s substantial fundraising lead—over $3 million raised with more than $2 million cash on hand—contrasts with Democrat Don Leonard’s more limited resources following his narrow May primary win. Leonard’s nomination over former candidate Adam Miller has not altered the underlying dynamics, leaving limited paths for a Democratic upset absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$12,672Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a strong position in Ohio’s 15th Congressional District, a suburban Columbus area with a Republican-leaning partisan voting index and consistent GOP victories in recent cycles, including his 2024 reelection by double digits. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s composition of western and southern suburbs plus rural counties. Carey’s substantial fundraising lead—over $3 million raised with more than $2 million cash on hand—contrasts with Democrat Don Leonard’s more limited resources following his narrow May primary win. Leonard’s nomination over former candidate Adam Miller has not altered the underlying dynamics, leaving limited paths for a Democratic upset absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions before the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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