Incumbent Joyce Beatty holds a commanding position in Ohio's 3rd congressional district due to its strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent partisan voting indexes and prior election margins exceeding 20 points. The Columbus-based district, entirely within Franklin County, delivered solid Democratic performance in recent cycles, including a wide 2024 presidential margin. Beatty secured her party's nomination comfortably in the May 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Cleophus Dulaney advanced unopposed after an earlier unsuccessful bid. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on her high implied probability. A late retirement, significant health event, or unusually large national partisan shift would be required to alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей OH-03
$58,344 Объем
$58,344 Объем
Джойс Битти (Д)
96%
Клеофус Дулэйни (Р)
2%
$58,344 Объем
$58,344 Объем
Джойс Битти (Д)
96%
Клеофус Дулэйни (Р)
2%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Joyce Beatty holds a commanding position in Ohio's 3rd congressional district due to its strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent partisan voting indexes and prior election margins exceeding 20 points. The Columbus-based district, entirely within Franklin County, delivered solid Democratic performance in recent cycles, including a wide 2024 presidential margin. Beatty secured her party's nomination comfortably in the May 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Cleophus Dulaney advanced unopposed after an earlier unsuccessful bid. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on her high implied probability. A late retirement, significant health event, or unusually large national partisan shift would be required to alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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