Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi secured a strong position in New York’s 3rd Congressional District by winning his June 2026 primary with roughly 80% of the vote and now faces Republican Mike LiPetri in a November rematch of their 2024 contest. Suozzi prevailed in that earlier race by about 3.6 points in a district Trump carried narrowly at the presidential level. His advantages include substantial fundraising leads, a record of bipartisan positioning on issues such as immigration, and consistent support across Nassau, Suffolk, and Queens portions of the district. LiPetri, backed by national Republican groups and some labor endorsements, has highlighted generational change and local concerns but trails in cash and name recognition. Trader consensus at 92% for Suozzi reflects these structural edges, though shifts in national conditions, turnout among suburban voters, or late developments could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNY-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NY-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$26,472 Объем
$26,472 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Том Суоззи (Д)
92%
Майк ЛиПетри (Р)
8%
$26,472 Объем
$26,472 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Том Суоззи (Д)
$12,616 Объем
92%
Майк ЛиПетри (Р)
$13,855 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi secured a strong position in New York’s 3rd Congressional District by winning his June 2026 primary with roughly 80% of the vote and now faces Republican Mike LiPetri in a November rematch of their 2024 contest. Suozzi prevailed in that earlier race by about 3.6 points in a district Trump carried narrowly at the presidential level. His advantages include substantial fundraising leads, a record of bipartisan positioning on issues such as immigration, and consistent support across Nassau, Suffolk, and Queens portions of the district. LiPetri, backed by national Republican groups and some labor endorsements, has highlighted generational change and local concerns but trails in cash and name recognition. Trader consensus at 92% for Suozzi reflects these structural edges, though shifts in national conditions, turnout among suburban voters, or late developments could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Объем
$26,472Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi secured a strong position in New York’s 3rd Congressional District by winning his June 2026 primary with roughly 80% of the vote and now faces Republican Mike LiPetri in a November rematch of their 2024 contest. Suozzi prevailed in that earlier race by about 3.6 points in a district Trump carried narrowly at the presidential level. His advantages include substantial fundraising leads, a record of bipartisan positioning on issues such as immigration, and consistent support across Nassau, Suffolk, and Queens portions of the district. LiPetri, backed by national Republican groups and some labor endorsements, has highlighted generational change and local concerns but trails in cash and name recognition. Trader consensus at 92% for Suozzi reflects these structural edges, though shifts in national conditions, turnout among suburban voters, or late developments could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$26,472Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi secured a strong position in New York’s 3rd Congressional District by winning his June 2026 primary with roughly 80% of the vote and now faces Republican Mike LiPetri in a November rematch of their 2024 contest. Suozzi prevailed in that earlier race by about 3.6 points in a district Trump carried narrowly at the presidential level. His advantages include substantial fundraising leads, a record of bipartisan positioning on issues such as immigration, and consistent support across Nassau, Suffolk, and Queens portions of the district. LiPetri, backed by national Republican groups and some labor endorsements, has highlighted generational change and local concerns but trails in cash and name recognition. Trader consensus at 92% for Suozzi reflects these structural edges, though shifts in national conditions, turnout among suburban voters, or late developments could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы