Incumbent Republican Mark Harris holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 8th Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election, backed by the seat's consistent Republican lean and strong fundraising edge exceeding $1 million compared to Democrat Colby Watson's roughly $40,000. Forecasters rate the district solid or safe Republican, consistent with Harris's 2024 performance. Watson secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary but faces structural barriers in a district spanning Union, Cabarrus, and surrounding counties with limited recent polling shifts or national tailwinds. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unexpected national wave could still alter the trajectory before ballots are cast.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNC-08 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NC-08 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$31,443 Объем
$31,443 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Марк Харрис (Р)
96%
Коулби Уотсон (Д)
3%
$31,443 Объем
$31,443 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Марк Харрис (Р)
$15,135 Объем
96%
Коулби Уотсон (Д)
$16,308 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mark Harris holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 8th Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election, backed by the seat's consistent Republican lean and strong fundraising edge exceeding $1 million compared to Democrat Colby Watson's roughly $40,000. Forecasters rate the district solid or safe Republican, consistent with Harris's 2024 performance. Watson secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary but faces structural barriers in a district spanning Union, Cabarrus, and surrounding counties with limited recent polling shifts or national tailwinds. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unexpected national wave could still alter the trajectory before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$31,443Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mark Harris holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 8th Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election, backed by the seat's consistent Republican lean and strong fundraising edge exceeding $1 million compared to Democrat Colby Watson's roughly $40,000. Forecasters rate the district solid or safe Republican, consistent with Harris's 2024 performance. Watson secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary but faces structural barriers in a district spanning Union, Cabarrus, and surrounding counties with limited recent polling shifts or national tailwinds. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unexpected national wave could still alter the trajectory before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$31,443Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mark Harris holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 8th Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election, backed by the seat's consistent Republican lean and strong fundraising edge exceeding $1 million compared to Democrat Colby Watson's roughly $40,000. Forecasters rate the district solid or safe Republican, consistent with Harris's 2024 performance. Watson secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary but faces structural barriers in a district spanning Union, Cabarrus, and surrounding counties with limited recent polling shifts or national tailwinds. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unexpected national wave could still alter the trajectory before ballots are cast.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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