Kweisi Mfume's commanding position in the Maryland 7th district race stems from the seat's entrenched Democratic advantage, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and a Cook PVI rating exceeding D+30. As incumbent, he secured renomination in the June 2026 Democratic primary with roughly 75 percent of the vote against challenger Mark Conway, demonstrating strong local party support in a district centered on Baltimore. Republican nominee Scott Collier, unopposed in his primary, previously captured under 18 percent in 2024. Election forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as a significant health event, ethics issue, or unforeseen national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMD-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$24,398 Объем
$24,398 Объем
Квайси Мфуме (Д)
97%
Скотт Коллиер (Р)
2%
$24,398 Объем
$24,398 Объем
Квайси Мфуме (Д)
97%
Скотт Коллиер (Р)
2%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Kweisi Mfume's commanding position in the Maryland 7th district race stems from the seat's entrenched Democratic advantage, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and a Cook PVI rating exceeding D+30. As incumbent, he secured renomination in the June 2026 Democratic primary with roughly 75 percent of the vote against challenger Mark Conway, demonstrating strong local party support in a district centered on Baltimore. Republican nominee Scott Collier, unopposed in his primary, previously captured under 18 percent in 2024. Election forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as a significant health event, ethics issue, or unforeseen national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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