Traders assign a 79.5% probability to “No” on Maduro facing conviction on every count because the U.S. case remains in its early pretrial phase with a June 2027 trial date still ahead. Defense counsel has moved to dismiss the four-count narco-terrorism and weapons indictment on head-of-state immunity grounds, with a November 17 hearing scheduled before Judge Alvin Hellerstein. Additional motions contesting the legality of Maduro’s January 2026 capture and jurisdictional reach are expected. Historical patterns in complex multi-defendant narco-terrorism prosecutions show frequent partial outcomes, plea negotiations, or procedural dismissals rather than unanimous verdicts on all charges. A recent guilty plea by associate Alex Saab may supply cooperating evidence but does not alter the structural barriers to securing convictions across every count by the 2027 resolution deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоМадуро виновен по всем пунктам?
Мадуро виновен по всем пунктам?
Да
21% вероятность
$133,116 Объем
$133,116 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
Да
21% вероятность
$133,116 Объем
$133,116 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign a 79.5% probability to “No” on Maduro facing conviction on every count because the U.S. case remains in its early pretrial phase with a June 2027 trial date still ahead. Defense counsel has moved to dismiss the four-count narco-terrorism and weapons indictment on head-of-state immunity grounds, with a November 17 hearing scheduled before Judge Alvin Hellerstein. Additional motions contesting the legality of Maduro’s January 2026 capture and jurisdictional reach are expected. Historical patterns in complex multi-defendant narco-terrorism prosecutions show frequent partial outcomes, plea negotiations, or procedural dismissals rather than unanimous verdicts on all charges. A recent guilty plea by associate Alex Saab may supply cooperating evidence but does not alter the structural barriers to securing convictions across every count by the 2027 resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Объем
$133,116Дата окончания
1 янв. 2028 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign a 79.5% probability to “No” on Maduro facing conviction on every count because the U.S. case remains in its early pretrial phase with a June 2027 trial date still ahead. Defense counsel has moved to dismiss the four-count narco-terrorism and weapons indictment on head-of-state immunity grounds, with a November 17 hearing scheduled before Judge Alvin Hellerstein. Additional motions contesting the legality of Maduro’s January 2026 capture and jurisdictional reach are expected. Historical patterns in complex multi-defendant narco-terrorism prosecutions show frequent partial outcomes, plea negotiations, or procedural dismissals rather than unanimous verdicts on all charges. A recent guilty plea by associate Alex Saab may supply cooperating evidence but does not alter the structural barriers to securing convictions across every count by the 2027 resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$133,116Дата окончания
1 янв. 2028 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 79.5% probability to “No” on Maduro facing conviction on every count because the U.S. case remains in its early pretrial phase with a June 2027 trial date still ahead. Defense counsel has moved to dismiss the four-count narco-terrorism and weapons indictment on head-of-state immunity grounds, with a November 17 hearing scheduled before Judge Alvin Hellerstein. Additional motions contesting the legality of Maduro’s January 2026 capture and jurisdictional reach are expected. Historical patterns in complex multi-defendant narco-terrorism prosecutions show frequent partial outcomes, plea negotiations, or procedural dismissals rather than unanimous verdicts on all charges. A recent guilty plea by associate Alex Saab may supply cooperating evidence but does not alter the structural barriers to securing convictions across every count by the 2027 resolution deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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