Justice Samuel Alito, age 76, has publicly stated he plans to serve another Supreme Court term, directly addressing retirement speculation after an erroneous June 2026 NPR report was retracted within minutes. In an August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview, he confirmed, “Obviously, I’m here for another term,” while noting discomfort with external pressure from conservatives seeking a vacancy for a Trump appointment before potential shifts in Senate control. The Court’s next term begins in October 2026 and runs through mid-2027, with no official retirement signals or procedural indicators such as clerk reassignments emerging since the summer. Trader assessments of an announcement by any near-term deadline reflect these statements alongside the justice’s life tenure and historical patterns of retirements timed to align with favorable political conditions for confirmation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоОбъявит ли Самуэль Алито о своем уходе на пенсию к...?
Объявит ли Самуэль Алито о своем уходе на пенсию к...?
$3,607,347 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
30 сентября
1%
31 декабря
6%
30 июня 2027 года
40%
$3,607,347 Объем
30 сентября
$1,099,633 Объем
1%
31 декабря
$857,736 Объем
6%
30 июня 2027 года
$48,313 Объем
40%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Justice Samuel Alito, age 76, has publicly stated he plans to serve another Supreme Court term, directly addressing retirement speculation after an erroneous June 2026 NPR report was retracted within minutes. In an August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview, he confirmed, “Obviously, I’m here for another term,” while noting discomfort with external pressure from conservatives seeking a vacancy for a Trump appointment before potential shifts in Senate control. The Court’s next term begins in October 2026 and runs through mid-2027, with no official retirement signals or procedural indicators such as clerk reassignments emerging since the summer. Trader assessments of an announcement by any near-term deadline reflect these statements alongside the justice’s life tenure and historical patterns of retirements timed to align with favorable political conditions for confirmation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Открытие рынка: Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Объем
$3,607,347Дата окончания
1 июл. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Justice Samuel Alito, age 76, has publicly stated he plans to serve another Supreme Court term, directly addressing retirement speculation after an erroneous June 2026 NPR report was retracted within minutes. In an August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview, he confirmed, “Obviously, I’m here for another term,” while noting discomfort with external pressure from conservatives seeking a vacancy for a Trump appointment before potential shifts in Senate control. The Court’s next term begins in October 2026 and runs through mid-2027, with no official retirement signals or procedural indicators such as clerk reassignments emerging since the summer. Trader assessments of an announcement by any near-term deadline reflect these statements alongside the justice’s life tenure and historical patterns of retirements timed to align with favorable political conditions for confirmation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Объем
$3,607,347Дата окончания
1 июл. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Justice Samuel Alito, age 76, has publicly stated he plans to serve another Supreme Court term, directly addressing retirement speculation after an erroneous June 2026 NPR report was retracted within minutes. In an August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview, he confirmed, “Obviously, I’m here for another term,” while noting discomfort with external pressure from conservatives seeking a vacancy for a Trump appointment before potential shifts in Senate control. The Court’s next term begins in October 2026 and runs through mid-2027, with no official retirement signals or procedural indicators such as clerk reassignments emerging since the summer. Trader assessments of an announcement by any near-term deadline reflect these statements alongside the justice’s life tenure and historical patterns of retirements timed to align with favorable political conditions for confirmation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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