Nicolás Maduro faces a four-count U.S. federal indictment in the Southern District of New York on narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and related weapons charges stemming from alleged ties to armed groups. Captured in a January 2026 U.S. operation and held in Brooklyn, he and his wife have pleaded not guilty, with trial scheduled for June 2027. Defense motions filed in early September 2026 seek dismissal on head-of-state immunity grounds, with a November 17 hearing pending after prosecutors respond by October 2. The extended pretrial timeline, complex jurisdictional challenges, and potential for motions, negotiations, or partial outcomes support trader consensus that conviction on every count remains unlikely by the December 2027 resolution deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоМадуро виновен по всем пунктам?
Мадуро виновен по всем пунктам?
Да
21% вероятность
$133,116 Объем
$133,116 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
Да
21% вероятность
$133,116 Объем
$133,116 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro faces a four-count U.S. federal indictment in the Southern District of New York on narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and related weapons charges stemming from alleged ties to armed groups. Captured in a January 2026 U.S. operation and held in Brooklyn, he and his wife have pleaded not guilty, with trial scheduled for June 2027. Defense motions filed in early September 2026 seek dismissal on head-of-state immunity grounds, with a November 17 hearing pending after prosecutors respond by October 2. The extended pretrial timeline, complex jurisdictional challenges, and potential for motions, negotiations, or partial outcomes support trader consensus that conviction on every count remains unlikely by the December 2027 resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Объем
$133,116Дата окончания
1 янв. 2028 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro faces a four-count U.S. federal indictment in the Southern District of New York on narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and related weapons charges stemming from alleged ties to armed groups. Captured in a January 2026 U.S. operation and held in Brooklyn, he and his wife have pleaded not guilty, with trial scheduled for June 2027. Defense motions filed in early September 2026 seek dismissal on head-of-state immunity grounds, with a November 17 hearing pending after prosecutors respond by October 2. The extended pretrial timeline, complex jurisdictional challenges, and potential for motions, negotiations, or partial outcomes support trader consensus that conviction on every count remains unlikely by the December 2027 resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$133,116Дата окончания
1 янв. 2028 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro faces a four-count U.S. federal indictment in the Southern District of New York on narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and related weapons charges stemming from alleged ties to armed groups. Captured in a January 2026 U.S. operation and held in Brooklyn, he and his wife have pleaded not guilty, with trial scheduled for June 2027. Defense motions filed in early September 2026 seek dismissal on head-of-state immunity grounds, with a November 17 hearing pending after prosecutors respond by October 2. The extended pretrial timeline, complex jurisdictional challenges, and potential for motions, negotiations, or partial outcomes support trader consensus that conviction on every count remains unlikely by the December 2027 resolution deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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