Recent forecast guidance from INMET and global ensembles indicates moderate overnight cooling for São Paulo on September 11, with model lows clustered near 15–19 °C amid variable cloud cover and northerly flow following recent frontal passages. Early-September temperatures have run 6–7 °C below climatological norms, raising the possibility of a sharper drop if skies clear, yet lingering moisture and winds could limit radiative cooling and keep the minimum closer to 18–20 °C. This spread in guidance, coupled with historical September lows averaging 12–15 °C, explains why trader-implied probabilities remain nearly even between sub-15 °C and 24 °C-plus outcomes while favoring mid-range values around 18 °C. Updated model runs and official observations tonight will likely refine these odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сан-Паулу 11 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Сан-Паулу 11 сентября?
14°C или ниже 65%
24°C или выше 65%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
65%
15°C
38%
16°C
38%
17°C
25%
18°C
29%
19°C
27%
20°C
37%
21°C
19%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C или выше
65%
14°C или ниже 65%
24°C или выше 65%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
$0 Объем
65%
15°C
$0 Объем
38%
16°C
$0 Объем
38%
17°C
$0 Объем
25%
18°C
$0 Объем
29%
19°C
$0 Объем
27%
20°C
$0 Объем
37%
21°C
$0 Объем
19%
22°C
$0 Объем
39%
23°C
$0 Объем
39%
24°C или выше
$0 Объем
65%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from INMET and global ensembles indicates moderate overnight cooling for São Paulo on September 11, with model lows clustered near 15–19 °C amid variable cloud cover and northerly flow following recent frontal passages. Early-September temperatures have run 6–7 °C below climatological norms, raising the possibility of a sharper drop if skies clear, yet lingering moisture and winds could limit radiative cooling and keep the minimum closer to 18–20 °C. This spread in guidance, coupled with historical September lows averaging 12–15 °C, explains why trader-implied probabilities remain nearly even between sub-15 °C and 24 °C-plus outcomes while favoring mid-range values around 18 °C. Updated model runs and official observations tonight will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from INMET and global ensembles indicates moderate overnight cooling for São Paulo on September 11, with model lows clustered near 15–19 °C amid variable cloud cover and northerly flow following recent frontal passages. Early-September temperatures have run 6–7 °C below climatological norms, raising the possibility of a sharper drop if skies clear, yet lingering moisture and winds could limit radiative cooling and keep the minimum closer to 18–20 °C. This spread in guidance, coupled with historical September lows averaging 12–15 °C, explains why trader-implied probabilities remain nearly even between sub-15 °C and 24 °C-plus outcomes while favoring mid-range values around 18 °C. Updated model runs and official observations tonight will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from INMET and global ensembles indicates moderate overnight cooling for São Paulo on September 11, with model lows clustered near 15–19 °C amid variable cloud cover and northerly flow following recent frontal passages. Early-September temperatures have run 6–7 °C below climatological norms, raising the possibility of a sharper drop if skies clear, yet lingering moisture and winds could limit radiative cooling and keep the minimum closer to 18–20 °C. This spread in guidance, coupled with historical September lows averaging 12–15 °C, explains why trader-implied probabilities remain nearly even between sub-15 °C and 24 °C-plus outcomes while favoring mid-range values around 18 °C. Updated model runs and official observations tonight will likely refine these odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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