Strong southwesterly advection of cooler mid-latitude air behind a recent frontal passage is the dominant driver pushing market-implied odds near even between a 7°C-or-below minimum (50.0%) and warmer bins such as 17°C-or-higher (43.0%). Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF shows overnight lows clustering between roughly 6–10°C depending on the strength of radiational cooling under clearing skies versus residual cloud cover and sustained 15–25 km/h winds that limit surface decoupling. Historical September climatology places typical minima near 8–11°C, so traders are weighting the current cold-air surge and model spread on exact wind timing and dew-point depression; final resolution hinges on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations at the central station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 21 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 21 сентября?
17°C или выше 95%
7°C или ниже 90%
10°C 40%
8°C 23%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 сент. 2026 г.
7°C или ниже
90%
8°C
23%
9°C
22%
10°C
40%
11°C
22%
12°C
22%
13°C
19%
14°C
5%
15°C
17%
16°C
5%
17°C или выше
95%
17°C или выше 95%
7°C или ниже 90%
10°C 40%
8°C 23%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 сент. 2026 г.
7°C или ниже
$0 Объем
90%
8°C
$0 Объем
23%
9°C
$0 Объем
22%
10°C
$0 Объем
40%
11°C
$0 Объем
22%
12°C
$0 Объем
22%
13°C
$90 Объем
19%
14°C
$0 Объем
5%
15°C
$0 Объем
17%
16°C
$0 Объем
5%
17°C или выше
$0 Объем
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong southwesterly advection of cooler mid-latitude air behind a recent frontal passage is the dominant driver pushing market-implied odds near even between a 7°C-or-below minimum (50.0%) and warmer bins such as 17°C-or-higher (43.0%). Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF shows overnight lows clustering between roughly 6–10°C depending on the strength of radiational cooling under clearing skies versus residual cloud cover and sustained 15–25 km/h winds that limit surface decoupling. Historical September climatology places typical minima near 8–11°C, so traders are weighting the current cold-air surge and model spread on exact wind timing and dew-point depression; final resolution hinges on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations at the central station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 19, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Объем
$90Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 8:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong southwesterly advection of cooler mid-latitude air behind a recent frontal passage is the dominant driver pushing market-implied odds near even between a 7°C-or-below minimum (50.0%) and warmer bins such as 17°C-or-higher (43.0%). Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF shows overnight lows clustering between roughly 6–10°C depending on the strength of radiational cooling under clearing skies versus residual cloud cover and sustained 15–25 km/h winds that limit surface decoupling. Historical September climatology places typical minima near 8–11°C, so traders are weighting the current cold-air surge and model spread on exact wind timing and dew-point depression; final resolution hinges on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations at the central station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$90Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 8:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Strong southwesterly advection of cooler mid-latitude air behind a recent frontal passage is the dominant driver pushing market-implied odds near even between a 7°C-or-below minimum (50.0%) and warmer bins such as 17°C-or-higher (43.0%). Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF shows overnight lows clustering between roughly 6–10°C depending on the strength of radiational cooling under clearing skies versus residual cloud cover and sustained 15–25 km/h winds that limit surface decoupling. Historical September climatology places typical minima near 8–11°C, so traders are weighting the current cold-air surge and model spread on exact wind timing and dew-point depression; final resolution hinges on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations at the central station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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