The 5-year Treasury yield, recently trading near 4.86%, has climbed sharply from roughly 3.68% a year earlier amid a hawkish Federal Reserve policy shift. The FOMC raised its target range by 25 basis points to 3.75-4.00% in mid-September, with the median dot plot signaling a 4.1% funds rate through 2027 and upward revisions to 2026 PCE inflation forecasts. Persistent core price pressures, elevated term premiums reflecting fiscal deficit concerns and heavy Treasury supply, plus resilient growth have driven the repricing. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI and employment data, Treasury auctions, and the next FOMC meeting, all of which could influence whether intermediate yields test higher levels before year-end 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$25,204 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
5,25%
20%
5,10%
67%
5,00%
61%
4,95%
72%
4,90%
87%
$25,204 Объем
5,25%
$4,040 Объем
20%
5,10%
$6,812 Объем
67%
5,00%
$5,352 Объем
61%
4,95%
$1,186 Объем
72%
4,90%
$1,892 Объем
87%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 5-year Treasury yield, recently trading near 4.86%, has climbed sharply from roughly 3.68% a year earlier amid a hawkish Federal Reserve policy shift. The FOMC raised its target range by 25 basis points to 3.75-4.00% in mid-September, with the median dot plot signaling a 4.1% funds rate through 2027 and upward revisions to 2026 PCE inflation forecasts. Persistent core price pressures, elevated term premiums reflecting fiscal deficit concerns and heavy Treasury supply, plus resilient growth have driven the repricing. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI and employment data, Treasury auctions, and the next FOMC meeting, all of which could influence whether intermediate yields test higher levels before year-end 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Объем
$25,204Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 5-year Treasury yield, recently trading near 4.86%, has climbed sharply from roughly 3.68% a year earlier amid a hawkish Federal Reserve policy shift. The FOMC raised its target range by 25 basis points to 3.75-4.00% in mid-September, with the median dot plot signaling a 4.1% funds rate through 2027 and upward revisions to 2026 PCE inflation forecasts. Persistent core price pressures, elevated term premiums reflecting fiscal deficit concerns and heavy Treasury supply, plus resilient growth have driven the repricing. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI and employment data, Treasury auctions, and the next FOMC meeting, all of which could influence whether intermediate yields test higher levels before year-end 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Объем
$25,204Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
The 5-year Treasury yield, recently trading near 4.86%, has climbed sharply from roughly 3.68% a year earlier amid a hawkish Federal Reserve policy shift. The FOMC raised its target range by 25 basis points to 3.75-4.00% in mid-September, with the median dot plot signaling a 4.1% funds rate through 2027 and upward revisions to 2026 PCE inflation forecasts. Persistent core price pressures, elevated term premiums reflecting fiscal deficit concerns and heavy Treasury supply, plus resilient growth have driven the repricing. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI and employment data, Treasury auctions, and the next FOMC meeting, all of which could influence whether intermediate yields test higher levels before year-end 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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