Recent National Weather Service guidance and GFS model runs for September 13, 2026, cluster New York City’s daily maximum temperature in the upper 70s, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 78-79°F outcome. Afternoon observations around 75-78°F under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and northwest winds have reinforced this range, as cloud cover and precipitation limit solar heating compared to clearer conditions. The climatological average high of 77.5°F at Central Park provides additional context for why extremes above 82°F carry low implied probability. Without a heat dome or anomalous southerly flow, traders have priced in modest variability driven by timing of any clearing or lingering moisture, with resolution hinging on official Central Park readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 13 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 13 сентября?
78-79°F 56%
80-81°F 42%
82-83°F 7%
84-85°F <1%
$84,979 Объем
$84,979 Объем
13 сент. 2026 г.
73°F или ниже
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
56%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F или выше
<1%
78-79°F 56%
80-81°F 42%
82-83°F 7%
84-85°F <1%
$84,979 Объем
$84,979 Объем
13 сент. 2026 г.
73°F или ниже
$40,158 Объем
<1%
74-75°F
$7,615 Объем
<1%
76-77°F
$8,237 Объем
<1%
78-79°F
$7,975 Объем
56%
80-81°F
$5,220 Объем
37%
82-83°F
$7,333 Объем
7%
84-85°F
$4,665 Объем
<1%
86-87°F
$2,317 Объем
<1%
88-89°F
$942 Объем
<1%
90-91°F
$137 Объем
<1%
92°F или выше
$382 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and GFS model runs for September 13, 2026, cluster New York City’s daily maximum temperature in the upper 70s, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 78-79°F outcome. Afternoon observations around 75-78°F under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and northwest winds have reinforced this range, as cloud cover and precipitation limit solar heating compared to clearer conditions. The climatological average high of 77.5°F at Central Park provides additional context for why extremes above 82°F carry low implied probability. Without a heat dome or anomalous southerly flow, traders have priced in modest variability driven by timing of any clearing or lingering moisture, with resolution hinging on official Central Park readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Объем
$84,979Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 3:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and GFS model runs for September 13, 2026, cluster New York City’s daily maximum temperature in the upper 70s, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 78-79°F outcome. Afternoon observations around 75-78°F under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and northwest winds have reinforced this range, as cloud cover and precipitation limit solar heating compared to clearer conditions. The climatological average high of 77.5°F at Central Park provides additional context for why extremes above 82°F carry low implied probability. Without a heat dome or anomalous southerly flow, traders have priced in modest variability driven by timing of any clearing or lingering moisture, with resolution hinging on official Central Park readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$84,979Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 3:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and GFS model runs for September 13, 2026, cluster New York City’s daily maximum temperature in the upper 70s, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 78-79°F outcome. Afternoon observations around 75-78°F under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and northwest winds have reinforced this range, as cloud cover and precipitation limit solar heating compared to clearer conditions. The climatological average high of 77.5°F at Central Park provides additional context for why extremes above 82°F carry low implied probability. Without a heat dome or anomalous southerly flow, traders have priced in modest variability driven by timing of any clearing or lingering moisture, with resolution hinging on official Central Park readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы