Official National Weather Service observations at Austin Bergstrom International Airport station recorded a daily maximum of 101°F on September 14, 2026, directly confirming the market-implied 100-101°F outcome at near-certainty. This value aligned with persistent hot, dry conditions under southerly flow and low precipitation, consistent with late-summer climatology where September averages hover near 91°F but recent heat anomalies pushed readings 10°F above normal. The consensus reflects traders incorporating real-time forecast verification and station data rather than models. Minor revisions to preliminary reports or use of an alternate station could theoretically shift the exact bin, though historical resolution practices prioritize the primary KAUS observation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 14 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Остине 14 сентября?
100-101°F 100.0%
89°F или ниже <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$43,535 Объем
$43,535 Объем
14 сент. 2026 г.
89°F или ниже
Нет
90-91°F
Нет
92-93°F
Нет
94–95°F
Нет
96-97°F
Нет
98-99°F
Нет
100-101°F
Да
102-103°F
Нет
104-105°F
Нет
106-107°F
Нет
108°F или выше
Нет
100-101°F 100.0%
89°F или ниже <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$43,535 Объем
$43,535 Объем
14 сент. 2026 г.
89°F или ниже
$365 Объем
Нет
90-91°F
$690 Объем
Нет
92-93°F
$235 Объем
Нет
94–95°F
$684 Объем
Нет
96-97°F
$4,392 Объем
Нет
98-99°F
$13,469 Объем
Нет
100-101°F
$13,536 Объем
Да
102-103°F
$7,144 Объем
Нет
104-105°F
$2,154 Объем
Нет
106-107°F
$704 Объем
Нет
108°F или выше
$161 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at Austin Bergstrom International Airport station recorded a daily maximum of 101°F on September 14, 2026, directly confirming the market-implied 100-101°F outcome at near-certainty. This value aligned with persistent hot, dry conditions under southerly flow and low precipitation, consistent with late-summer climatology where September averages hover near 91°F but recent heat anomalies pushed readings 10°F above normal. The consensus reflects traders incorporating real-time forecast verification and station data rather than models. Minor revisions to preliminary reports or use of an alternate station could theoretically shift the exact bin, though historical resolution practices prioritize the primary KAUS observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Объем
$43,535Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at Austin Bergstrom International Airport station recorded a daily maximum of 101°F on September 14, 2026, directly confirming the market-implied 100-101°F outcome at near-certainty. This value aligned with persistent hot, dry conditions under southerly flow and low precipitation, consistent with late-summer climatology where September averages hover near 91°F but recent heat anomalies pushed readings 10°F above normal. The consensus reflects traders incorporating real-time forecast verification and station data rather than models. Minor revisions to preliminary reports or use of an alternate station could theoretically shift the exact bin, though historical resolution practices prioritize the primary KAUS observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$43,535Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Official National Weather Service observations at Austin Bergstrom International Airport station recorded a daily maximum of 101°F on September 14, 2026, directly confirming the market-implied 100-101°F outcome at near-certainty. This value aligned with persistent hot, dry conditions under southerly flow and low precipitation, consistent with late-summer climatology where September averages hover near 91°F but recent heat anomalies pushed readings 10°F above normal. The consensus reflects traders incorporating real-time forecast verification and station data rather than models. Minor revisions to preliminary reports or use of an alternate station could theoretically shift the exact bin, though historical resolution practices prioritize the primary KAUS observation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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