Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán holds a commanding lead in the CA-44 general election matchup against Republican challenger Genevieve Angel, reflecting the district's strong Democratic voter registration advantage and consistent performance in recent cycles. Barragán advanced comfortably from the June 2026 primary with 77% of the vote in the top-two contest, while Angel received 23%. Forecasters across outlets have rated the race as solidly or safely Democratic based on historical margins, including President Harris carrying the district by double digits in 2024. Barragán's substantial fundraising edge and established incumbency further reinforce trader consensus around her position. A narrow set of developments, such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave, could theoretically narrow the gap before November 3, though no such catalysts have emerged.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-44 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-44 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$46,720 Объем
$46,720 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Нанетт Барраган (Д)
98%
Женевьев Анхель (Р)
2%
$46,720 Объем
$46,720 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Нанетт Барраган (Д)
$21,730 Объем
98%
Женевьев Анхель (Р)
$24,990 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán holds a commanding lead in the CA-44 general election matchup against Republican challenger Genevieve Angel, reflecting the district's strong Democratic voter registration advantage and consistent performance in recent cycles. Barragán advanced comfortably from the June 2026 primary with 77% of the vote in the top-two contest, while Angel received 23%. Forecasters across outlets have rated the race as solidly or safely Democratic based on historical margins, including President Harris carrying the district by double digits in 2024. Barragán's substantial fundraising edge and established incumbency further reinforce trader consensus around her position. A narrow set of developments, such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave, could theoretically narrow the gap before November 3, though no such catalysts have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Объем
$46,720Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán holds a commanding lead in the CA-44 general election matchup against Republican challenger Genevieve Angel, reflecting the district's strong Democratic voter registration advantage and consistent performance in recent cycles. Barragán advanced comfortably from the June 2026 primary with 77% of the vote in the top-two contest, while Angel received 23%. Forecasters across outlets have rated the race as solidly or safely Democratic based on historical margins, including President Harris carrying the district by double digits in 2024. Barragán's substantial fundraising edge and established incumbency further reinforce trader consensus around her position. A narrow set of developments, such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave, could theoretically narrow the gap before November 3, though no such catalysts have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$46,720Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán holds a commanding lead in the CA-44 general election matchup against Republican challenger Genevieve Angel, reflecting the district's strong Democratic voter registration advantage and consistent performance in recent cycles. Barragán advanced comfortably from the June 2026 primary with 77% of the vote in the top-two contest, while Angel received 23%. Forecasters across outlets have rated the race as solidly or safely Democratic based on historical margins, including President Harris carrying the district by double digits in 2024. Barragán's substantial fundraising edge and established incumbency further reinforce trader consensus around her position. A narrow set of developments, such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave, could theoretically narrow the gap before November 3, though no such catalysts have emerged.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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