Hilda Solis holds a commanding lead in the CA-38 general election market because the newly redrawn district carries a strong Democratic tilt, with forecasters rating it Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 vote. Solis advanced from the June 2 top-two primary with 47.6 percent, outpacing Republican Pedro Casas at 35.8 percent, backed by her extensive record as a former U.S. representative, Labor Secretary, and current Los Angeles County supervisor, plus substantial fundraising and progressive endorsements. Casas, a political newcomer and clinical psychologist, lacks comparable name recognition or institutional support in this open-seat contest. Trader consensus prices reflect these structural and candidate-specific factors, though late developments such as unusually high Republican turnout or unforeseen controversies could still narrow the gap before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-38 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-38 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$63,872 Объем
$63,872 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Хильда Солис (Д)
95%
Педро Касас (Р)
1%
$63,872 Объем
$63,872 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Хильда Солис (Д)
$32,210 Объем
95%
Педро Касас (Р)
$31,662 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hilda Solis holds a commanding lead in the CA-38 general election market because the newly redrawn district carries a strong Democratic tilt, with forecasters rating it Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 vote. Solis advanced from the June 2 top-two primary with 47.6 percent, outpacing Republican Pedro Casas at 35.8 percent, backed by her extensive record as a former U.S. representative, Labor Secretary, and current Los Angeles County supervisor, plus substantial fundraising and progressive endorsements. Casas, a political newcomer and clinical psychologist, lacks comparable name recognition or institutional support in this open-seat contest. Trader consensus prices reflect these structural and candidate-specific factors, though late developments such as unusually high Republican turnout or unforeseen controversies could still narrow the gap before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$63,872Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hilda Solis holds a commanding lead in the CA-38 general election market because the newly redrawn district carries a strong Democratic tilt, with forecasters rating it Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 vote. Solis advanced from the June 2 top-two primary with 47.6 percent, outpacing Republican Pedro Casas at 35.8 percent, backed by her extensive record as a former U.S. representative, Labor Secretary, and current Los Angeles County supervisor, plus substantial fundraising and progressive endorsements. Casas, a political newcomer and clinical psychologist, lacks comparable name recognition or institutional support in this open-seat contest. Trader consensus prices reflect these structural and candidate-specific factors, though late developments such as unusually high Republican turnout or unforeseen controversies could still narrow the gap before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$63,872Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Hilda Solis holds a commanding lead in the CA-38 general election market because the newly redrawn district carries a strong Democratic tilt, with forecasters rating it Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 vote. Solis advanced from the June 2 top-two primary with 47.6 percent, outpacing Republican Pedro Casas at 35.8 percent, backed by her extensive record as a former U.S. representative, Labor Secretary, and current Los Angeles County supervisor, plus substantial fundraising and progressive endorsements. Casas, a political newcomer and clinical psychologist, lacks comparable name recognition or institutional support in this open-seat contest. Trader consensus prices reflect these structural and candidate-specific factors, though late developments such as unusually high Republican turnout or unforeseen controversies could still narrow the gap before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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