Incumbent Democrat Raul Ruiz advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary in California's 25th Congressional District, securing 60% of the vote against Republican Joe Males at roughly 19%. The district carries a modest Democratic lean and is rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters, reflecting Ruiz's consistent reelection margins and established local profile as a physician and long-serving representative. Males, a Hemet city council member and Marine veteran, consolidated Republican support but trails significantly in a general election environment where Democratic turnout and structural advantages typically prevail. Trader consensus at 95% for Ruiz aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as unexpected national political shifts or candidate-specific events within the final weeks could still influence the November outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-25 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-25 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$20,203 Объем
$20,203 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Рауль Руис (Д)
95%
Джо Малес (Р)
6%
$20,203 Объем
$20,203 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Рауль Руис (Д)
$12,890 Объем
95%
Джо Малес (Р)
$7,313 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Raul Ruiz advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary in California's 25th Congressional District, securing 60% of the vote against Republican Joe Males at roughly 19%. The district carries a modest Democratic lean and is rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters, reflecting Ruiz's consistent reelection margins and established local profile as a physician and long-serving representative. Males, a Hemet city council member and Marine veteran, consolidated Republican support but trails significantly in a general election environment where Democratic turnout and structural advantages typically prevail. Trader consensus at 95% for Ruiz aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as unexpected national political shifts or candidate-specific events within the final weeks could still influence the November outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Объем
$20,203Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Raul Ruiz advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary in California's 25th Congressional District, securing 60% of the vote against Republican Joe Males at roughly 19%. The district carries a modest Democratic lean and is rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters, reflecting Ruiz's consistent reelection margins and established local profile as a physician and long-serving representative. Males, a Hemet city council member and Marine veteran, consolidated Republican support but trails significantly in a general election environment where Democratic turnout and structural advantages typically prevail. Trader consensus at 95% for Ruiz aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as unexpected national political shifts or candidate-specific events within the final weeks could still influence the November outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$20,203Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Raul Ruiz advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary in California's 25th Congressional District, securing 60% of the vote against Republican Joe Males at roughly 19%. The district carries a modest Democratic lean and is rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters, reflecting Ruiz's consistent reelection margins and established local profile as a physician and long-serving representative. Males, a Hemet city council member and Marine veteran, consolidated Republican support but trails significantly in a general election environment where Democratic turnout and structural advantages typically prevail. Trader consensus at 95% for Ruiz aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as unexpected national political shifts or candidate-specific events within the final weeks could still influence the November outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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