Democrats are widely expected to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms, positioning them to advance articles of impeachment during the remainder of President Trump’s term through January 2029. Recent filings, including Rep. Al Green’s August 2026 resolution citing immigration enforcement actions and related incidents, illustrate ongoing Democratic efforts even in the minority. Prediction markets price the House vote at roughly two-thirds odds, reflecting this midterm outlook and historical patterns of partisan proceedings when one party holds the chamber. Senate conviction remains a separate and steeper barrier requiring a two-thirds majority, though the market focuses solely on House passage. Midterm results and any subsequent committee actions will determine whether these probabilities shift materially.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
68% chance
$102,057 Vol.
$102,057 Vol.
19 jan 2029
Ganhe 3.25%
Sim
68% chance
$102,057 Vol.
$102,057 Vol.
19 jan 2029
Ganhe 3.25%
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats are widely expected to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms, positioning them to advance articles of impeachment during the remainder of President Trump’s term through January 2029. Recent filings, including Rep. Al Green’s August 2026 resolution citing immigration enforcement actions and related incidents, illustrate ongoing Democratic efforts even in the minority. Prediction markets price the House vote at roughly two-thirds odds, reflecting this midterm outlook and historical patterns of partisan proceedings when one party holds the chamber. Senate conviction remains a separate and steeper barrier requiring a two-thirds majority, though the market focuses solely on House passage. Midterm results and any subsequent committee actions will determine whether these probabilities shift materially.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volume
$102,057Data de Término
20 jan 2029Mercado Aberto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats are widely expected to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms, positioning them to advance articles of impeachment during the remainder of President Trump’s term through January 2029. Recent filings, including Rep. Al Green’s August 2026 resolution citing immigration enforcement actions and related incidents, illustrate ongoing Democratic efforts even in the minority. Prediction markets price the House vote at roughly two-thirds odds, reflecting this midterm outlook and historical patterns of partisan proceedings when one party holds the chamber. Senate conviction remains a separate and steeper barrier requiring a two-thirds majority, though the market focuses solely on House passage. Midterm results and any subsequent committee actions will determine whether these probabilities shift materially.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$102,057Data de Término
20 jan 2029Mercado Aberto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Democrats are widely expected to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms, positioning them to advance articles of impeachment during the remainder of President Trump’s term through January 2029. Recent filings, including Rep. Al Green’s August 2026 resolution citing immigration enforcement actions and related incidents, illustrate ongoing Democratic efforts even in the minority. Prediction markets price the House vote at roughly two-thirds odds, reflecting this midterm outlook and historical patterns of partisan proceedings when one party holds the chamber. Senate conviction remains a separate and steeper barrier requiring a two-thirds majority, though the market focuses solely on House passage. Midterm results and any subsequent committee actions will determine whether these probabilities shift materially.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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