Democrats' strong prospects for regaining House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the central driver of trader consensus on a third Trump impeachment. Markets price Democratic House gains near 85 percent, and incoming leadership has signaled willingness to pursue articles of impeachment over issues including executive actions on immigration enforcement, federal funding allocations favoring certain states, and other policy disputes. A resolution introduced in August 2026 by Rep. Al Green already outlines specific charges, though it remains referred to committee under current Republican majorities. Historical precedent shows House majorities can advance impeachment on partisan lines even when Senate conviction appears unlikely. Traders therefore assign elevated probability to House passage before the term concludes in January 2029, while noting that Senate dynamics and any intervening events could still alter the timeline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
69% chance
$102,071 Vol.
$102,071 Vol.
19 jan 2029
Ganhe 3.25%
Sim
69% chance
$102,071 Vol.
$102,071 Vol.
19 jan 2029
Ganhe 3.25%
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats' strong prospects for regaining House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the central driver of trader consensus on a third Trump impeachment. Markets price Democratic House gains near 85 percent, and incoming leadership has signaled willingness to pursue articles of impeachment over issues including executive actions on immigration enforcement, federal funding allocations favoring certain states, and other policy disputes. A resolution introduced in August 2026 by Rep. Al Green already outlines specific charges, though it remains referred to committee under current Republican majorities. Historical precedent shows House majorities can advance impeachment on partisan lines even when Senate conviction appears unlikely. Traders therefore assign elevated probability to House passage before the term concludes in January 2029, while noting that Senate dynamics and any intervening events could still alter the timeline.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volume
$102,071Data de Término
20 jan 2029Mercado Aberto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats' strong prospects for regaining House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the central driver of trader consensus on a third Trump impeachment. Markets price Democratic House gains near 85 percent, and incoming leadership has signaled willingness to pursue articles of impeachment over issues including executive actions on immigration enforcement, federal funding allocations favoring certain states, and other policy disputes. A resolution introduced in August 2026 by Rep. Al Green already outlines specific charges, though it remains referred to committee under current Republican majorities. Historical precedent shows House majorities can advance impeachment on partisan lines even when Senate conviction appears unlikely. Traders therefore assign elevated probability to House passage before the term concludes in January 2029, while noting that Senate dynamics and any intervening events could still alter the timeline.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$102,071Data de Término
20 jan 2029Mercado Aberto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Democrats' strong prospects for regaining House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the central driver of trader consensus on a third Trump impeachment. Markets price Democratic House gains near 85 percent, and incoming leadership has signaled willingness to pursue articles of impeachment over issues including executive actions on immigration enforcement, federal funding allocations favoring certain states, and other policy disputes. A resolution introduced in August 2026 by Rep. Al Green already outlines specific charges, though it remains referred to committee under current Republican majorities. Historical precedent shows House majorities can advance impeachment on partisan lines even when Senate conviction appears unlikely. Traders therefore assign elevated probability to House passage before the term concludes in January 2029, while noting that Senate dynamics and any intervening events could still alter the timeline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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