The ongoing Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, now in its 25th day as of mid-September 2026, centers on articles including alleged unexplained wealth, false statements of assets, liabilities, and net worth, and continued business interests. Conviction requires 16 of 24 senator-judges, a threshold made competitive by a substantial Duterte-aligned bloc that has historically limited cross-aisle support for removal. Recent proceedings have focused on bank records subpoenas and witness testimony regarding SALNs, with the trial scheduled to continue through late 2026. Trader consensus near 50 percent reflects uncertainty over whether prosecutors can secure the necessary votes before the December 31 resolution deadline, amid procedural challenges and the extended hearing calendar. Shifts in senator alignments, new documentary evidence, or accelerated witness schedules could alter the balance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoWill the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
50% chance
$12,651 Vol.
$12,651 Vol.
30 dez 2026
50% chance
$12,651 Vol.
$12,651 Vol.
30 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The ongoing Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, now in its 25th day as of mid-September 2026, centers on articles including alleged unexplained wealth, false statements of assets, liabilities, and net worth, and continued business interests. Conviction requires 16 of 24 senator-judges, a threshold made competitive by a substantial Duterte-aligned bloc that has historically limited cross-aisle support for removal. Recent proceedings have focused on bank records subpoenas and witness testimony regarding SALNs, with the trial scheduled to continue through late 2026. Trader consensus near 50 percent reflects uncertainty over whether prosecutors can secure the necessary votes before the December 31 resolution deadline, amid procedural challenges and the extended hearing calendar. Shifts in senator alignments, new documentary evidence, or accelerated witness schedules could alter the balance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Mercado Aberto: May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Volume
$12,651Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The ongoing Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, now in its 25th day as of mid-September 2026, centers on articles including alleged unexplained wealth, false statements of assets, liabilities, and net worth, and continued business interests. Conviction requires 16 of 24 senator-judges, a threshold made competitive by a substantial Duterte-aligned bloc that has historically limited cross-aisle support for removal. Recent proceedings have focused on bank records subpoenas and witness testimony regarding SALNs, with the trial scheduled to continue through late 2026. Trader consensus near 50 percent reflects uncertainty over whether prosecutors can secure the necessary votes before the December 31 resolution deadline, amid procedural challenges and the extended hearing calendar. Shifts in senator alignments, new documentary evidence, or accelerated witness schedules could alter the balance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$12,651Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The ongoing Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, now in its 25th day as of mid-September 2026, centers on articles including alleged unexplained wealth, false statements of assets, liabilities, and net worth, and continued business interests. Conviction requires 16 of 24 senator-judges, a threshold made competitive by a substantial Duterte-aligned bloc that has historically limited cross-aisle support for removal. Recent proceedings have focused on bank records subpoenas and witness testimony regarding SALNs, with the trial scheduled to continue through late 2026. Trader consensus near 50 percent reflects uncertainty over whether prosecutors can secure the necessary votes before the December 31 resolution deadline, amid procedural challenges and the extended hearing calendar. Shifts in senator alignments, new documentary evidence, or accelerated witness schedules could alter the balance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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