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icon for Ilhan Omar será deportada em 2026?

Ilhan Omar será deportada em 2026?

icon for Ilhan Omar será deportada em 2026?

Ilhan Omar será deportada em 2026?

Sim

2% chance
Polymarket
NOVO

Sim

2% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rep. Ilhan Omar is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Omar from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. A removal order that has not been implemented will not be sufficient to resolve this market. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.**Naturalized U.S. citizen status since 2000 creates a high legal barrier to deportation, as removal requires a successful civil denaturalization suit proving willful fraud in the original naturalization process.** No such DOJ proceeding has been publicly filed or confirmed against Representative Ilhan Omar as of September 2026, despite repeated public calls from President Trump, Vice President Vance, and some Republican lawmakers referencing longstanding unproven allegations. Courts treat denaturalization as rare and evidence-intensive, with strong due-process protections that have historically limited cases to clear fraud or national-security matters rather than political disputes. Trader consensus at 98.3% for “No” reflects this structural reality and the lack of active litigation. Narrow pathways that could still alter the outcome within 2026 include an unanticipated DOJ filing that prevails at trial and on appeal, though such an outcome would represent a significant departure from established precedent.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rep. Ilhan Omar is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Omar from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count.

A removal order that has not been implemented will not be sufficient to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rep. Ilhan Omar is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Omar from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. A removal order that has not been implemented will not be sufficient to resolve this market. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
Volume
$163
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 25, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rep. Ilhan Omar is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Omar from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. A removal order that has not been implemented will not be sufficient to resolve this market. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.**Naturalized U.S. citizen status since 2000 creates a high legal barrier to deportation, as removal requires a successful civil denaturalization suit proving willful fraud in the original naturalization process.** No such DOJ proceeding has been publicly filed or confirmed against Representative Ilhan Omar as of September 2026, despite repeated public calls from President Trump, Vice President Vance, and some Republican lawmakers referencing longstanding unproven allegations. Courts treat denaturalization as rare and evidence-intensive, with strong due-process protections that have historically limited cases to clear fraud or national-security matters rather than political disputes. Trader consensus at 98.3% for “No” reflects this structural reality and the lack of active litigation. Narrow pathways that could still alter the outcome within 2026 include an unanticipated DOJ filing that prevails at trial and on appeal, though such an outcome would represent a significant departure from established precedent.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rep. Ilhan Omar is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Omar from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count.

A removal order that has not been implemented will not be sufficient to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rep. Ilhan Omar is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Omar from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. A removal order that has not been implemented will not be sufficient to resolve this market. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
Volume
$163
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 25, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Ilhan Omar será deportada em 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ilhan Omar será deportada em 2026?" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 2¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 2% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Ilhan Omar será deportada em 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Ilhan Omar será deportada em 2026?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Ilhan Omar será deportada em 2026?" is "Ilhan Omar será deportada em 2026?" at just 2%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Ilhan Omar será deportada em 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.