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icon for Uma obra de arte será vendida por $ 150 milhões até 31 de dezembro?

Uma obra de arte será vendida por $ 150 milhões até 31 de dezembro?

icon for Uma obra de arte será vendida por $ 150 milhões até 31 de dezembro?

Uma obra de arte será vendida por $ 150 milhões até 31 de dezembro?

Sim

40% chance
Polymarket
NOVO

Sim

40% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's. Christie's, or Phillips. If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or no qualifying report is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".**No at 73% reflects a market that has already seen multiple $150 million-plus results in 2025–2026 but views another one before year-end as less certain amid lumpy supply.** The standout 2025 Klimt *Portrait of Elisabeth Lederer* ($236.4 million) and May 2026 Pollock *Number 7A* ($181.2 million) came from major estate dispersals (Lauder, Newhouse, Gund), driving the recent rebound in trophy Modern and Postwar works. With those collections largely cleared and fewer comparable single-owner blocks confirmed for the fall New York or London seasons, traders see limited near-term catalysts capable of pushing another lot over the threshold by December 31. Upcoming evening sales and any late private-treaty reports remain the key swing factors, yet the compressed timeline and historical reliance on exceptional provenance keep the “No” side favored.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's. Christie's, or Phillips. If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or no qualifying report is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's. Christie's, or Phillips. If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or no qualifying report is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$1,616
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jun 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's. Christie's, or Phillips. If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or no qualifying report is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".**No at 73% reflects a market that has already seen multiple $150 million-plus results in 2025–2026 but views another one before year-end as less certain amid lumpy supply.** The standout 2025 Klimt *Portrait of Elisabeth Lederer* ($236.4 million) and May 2026 Pollock *Number 7A* ($181.2 million) came from major estate dispersals (Lauder, Newhouse, Gund), driving the recent rebound in trophy Modern and Postwar works. With those collections largely cleared and fewer comparable single-owner blocks confirmed for the fall New York or London seasons, traders see limited near-term catalysts capable of pushing another lot over the threshold by December 31. Upcoming evening sales and any late private-treaty reports remain the key swing factors, yet the compressed timeline and historical reliance on exceptional provenance keep the “No” side favored.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's. Christie's, or Phillips. If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or no qualifying report is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's. Christie's, or Phillips. If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or no qualifying report is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$1,616
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jun 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Uma obra de arte será vendida por $ 150 milhões até 31 de dezembro?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Uma obra de arte será vendida por 150 milhões de dólares até 31 de dezembro?" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 26¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Uma obra de arte será vendida por $ 150 milhões até 31 de dezembro?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Uma obra de arte será vendida por $ 150 milhões até 31 de dezembro?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Uma obra de arte será vendida por $ 150 milhões até 31 de dezembro?" is "Uma obra de arte será vendida por 150 milhões de dólares até 31 de dezembro?" at 26%, meaning the market assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Uma obra de arte será vendida por $ 150 milhões até 31 de dezembro?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.