Recent weekly posting volumes have anchored trader expectations for Elon Musk’s September total near 800–900 posts, with the 840–879 bracket leading at 22.5% implied probability. Early-month data showed 200–219 posts in the first eight days and 186 in the following week, while shorter windows in mid-September clustered around 40–64 posts over three days, reflecting a steady daily pace of roughly 25–30 main-feed posts and reposts. Remaining days carry modest upside risk from high-engagement topics like platform policy or tech updates, yet historical patterns suggest limited volatility in the final stretch. Closely matched brackets underscore uncertainty around day-to-day fluctuations rather than any single catalyst.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado840-879 22%
800-839 20%
880-919 18%
760-799 13%
$171,541 Vol.
$171,541 Vol.
30 set 2026
560-599
<1%
600-639
1%
640-679
<1%
680-719
1%
720-759
6%
760-799
13%
800-839
20%
840-879
22%
880-919
18%
920-959
12%
960-999
8%
1000-1039
4%
1040-1079
2%
1080-1119
1%
1120-1159
<1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400+
<1%
840-879 22%
800-839 20%
880-919 18%
760-799 13%
$171,541 Vol.
$171,541 Vol.
30 set 2026
560-599
$4,816 Vol.
<1%
600-639
$2,664 Vol.
1%
640-679
$6,690 Vol.
<1%
680-719
$7,588 Vol.
1%
720-759
$8,444 Vol.
6%
760-799
$15,444 Vol.
13%
800-839
$10,384 Vol.
20%
840-879
$14,061 Vol.
22%
880-919
$13,516 Vol.
18%
920-959
$13,601 Vol.
12%
960-999
$11,512 Vol.
8%
1000-1039
$7,868 Vol.
4%
1040-1079
$4,779 Vol.
2%
1080-1119
$1,972 Vol.
1%
1120-1159
$5,145 Vol.
<1%
1160-1199
$1,560 Vol.
<1%
1200-1239
$1,441 Vol.
1%
1240-1279
$767 Vol.
<1%
1280-1319
$4,333 Vol.
<1%
1320-1359
$871 Vol.
<1%
1360-1399
$853 Vol.
<1%
1400+
$1,842 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk) posts on X during the month of September 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent weekly posting volumes have anchored trader expectations for Elon Musk’s September total near 800–900 posts, with the 840–879 bracket leading at 22.5% implied probability. Early-month data showed 200–219 posts in the first eight days and 186 in the following week, while shorter windows in mid-September clustered around 40–64 posts over three days, reflecting a steady daily pace of roughly 25–30 main-feed posts and reposts. Remaining days carry modest upside risk from high-engagement topics like platform policy or tech updates, yet historical patterns suggest limited volatility in the final stretch. Closely matched brackets underscore uncertainty around day-to-day fluctuations rather than any single catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk) posts on X during the month of September 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 7, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Volume
$171,541Data de Término
1 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 7, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk) posts on X during the month of September 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent weekly posting volumes have anchored trader expectations for Elon Musk’s September total near 800–900 posts, with the 840–879 bracket leading at 22.5% implied probability. Early-month data showed 200–219 posts in the first eight days and 186 in the following week, while shorter windows in mid-September clustered around 40–64 posts over three days, reflecting a steady daily pace of roughly 25–30 main-feed posts and reposts. Remaining days carry modest upside risk from high-engagement topics like platform policy or tech updates, yet historical patterns suggest limited volatility in the final stretch. Closely matched brackets underscore uncertainty around day-to-day fluctuations rather than any single catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk) posts on X during the month of September 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$171,541Data de Término
1 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 7, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weekly posting volumes have anchored trader expectations for Elon Musk’s September total near 800–900 posts, with the 840–879 bracket leading at 22.5% implied probability. Early-month data showed 200–219 posts in the first eight days and 186 in the following week, while shorter windows in mid-September clustered around 40–64 posts over three days, reflecting a steady daily pace of roughly 25–30 main-feed posts and reposts. Remaining days carry modest upside risk from high-engagement topics like platform policy or tech updates, yet historical patterns suggest limited volatility in the final stretch. Closely matched brackets underscore uncertainty around day-to-day fluctuations rather than any single catalyst.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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