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icon for Quais CEOs sairão antes de 2027?
Economia·Big Tech

Quais CEOs sairão antes de 2027?

icon for Quais CEOs sairão antes de 2027?
Economia·Big Tech

Quais CEOs sairão antes de 2027?

$713,511 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$713,511 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Andy Jassy - Amazon

Andy Jassy - Amazon

$29,407 Vol.

8%

icon for Sundar Pichai - Google

Sundar Pichai - Google

$41,218 Vol.

6%

icon for Sam Altman - OpenAI

Sam Altman - OpenAI

$96,512 Vol.

6%

icon for Dan Clancy - Twitch

Dan Clancy - Twitch

$44,237 Vol.

4%

icon for Brian Armstrong - Coinbase

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase

$85,151 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.**Tim Cook’s transition out of Apple’s CEO role on September 1, 2026, with John Ternus taking over, anchors current trader sentiment in the “Which CEOs will be out before 2027?” market.** This planned handoff, announced earlier in the year, has driven near-certain resolution odds for Cook while highlighting broader succession pressures across tech. At frontier AI labs, repeated high-level exits at OpenAI—including multiple executives in 2026 amid reorganization, safety concerns, and IPO preparations—along with Google DeepMind leadership shifts and researcher departures, reflect intense competitive dynamics and talent mobility ahead of potential listings. Low implied probabilities for leaders like Sundar Pichai, Andy Jassy, and Sam Altman underscore limited near-term expectations absent major catalysts such as earnings, regulatory actions, or credible succession signals. Traders weigh these verified transitions against the typical stability of established tech CEOs through year-end 2026.

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Volume
$713,511
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.**Tim Cook’s transition out of Apple’s CEO role on September 1, 2026, with John Ternus taking over, anchors current trader sentiment in the “Which CEOs will be out before 2027?” market.** This planned handoff, announced earlier in the year, has driven near-certain resolution odds for Cook while highlighting broader succession pressures across tech. At frontier AI labs, repeated high-level exits at OpenAI—including multiple executives in 2026 amid reorganization, safety concerns, and IPO preparations—along with Google DeepMind leadership shifts and researcher departures, reflect intense competitive dynamics and talent mobility ahead of potential listings. Low implied probabilities for leaders like Sundar Pichai, Andy Jassy, and Sam Altman underscore limited near-term expectations absent major catalysts such as earnings, regulatory actions, or credible succession signals. Traders weigh these verified transitions against the typical stability of established tech CEOs through year-end 2026.

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Volume
$713,511
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quais CEOs sairão antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tim Cook - Apple" at 100%, followed by "Andy Jassy - Amazon" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quais CEOs sairão antes de 2027?" has generated $713.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quais CEOs sairão antes de 2027?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quais CEOs sairão antes de 2027?" is "Tim Cook - Apple" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Andy Jassy - Amazon" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quais CEOs sairão antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.