Tennessee’s 5th Congressional District race features Republican nominee Charlie Hatcher holding an 88.5% implied probability against Democrat Chaz Molder at 11.2%, reflecting the district’s strong Republican tilt after mid-cycle redistricting removed much of Nashville and added rural, agricultural counties. Hatcher secured the nomination by defeating incumbent Andy Ogles in the August 6 primary with 53.3% of the vote, bolstered by endorsements from Governor Bill Lee and other establishment figures. Molder advanced from the Democratic primary but faces a structurally disadvantaged path in a district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index favoring Republicans by double digits. Recent agreement on a series of debates in September has not altered the underlying partisan math or fundraising dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa TN-05
Vencedor da eleição da casa TN-05
$53,273 Vol.
$53,273 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Charlie Hatcher (R)
89%
Chaz Molder (D)
11%
$53,273 Vol.
$53,273 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Charlie Hatcher (R)
$26,788 Vol.
89%
Chaz Molder (D)
$26,485 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee’s 5th Congressional District race features Republican nominee Charlie Hatcher holding an 88.5% implied probability against Democrat Chaz Molder at 11.2%, reflecting the district’s strong Republican tilt after mid-cycle redistricting removed much of Nashville and added rural, agricultural counties. Hatcher secured the nomination by defeating incumbent Andy Ogles in the August 6 primary with 53.3% of the vote, bolstered by endorsements from Governor Bill Lee and other establishment figures. Molder advanced from the Democratic primary but faces a structurally disadvantaged path in a district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index favoring Republicans by double digits. Recent agreement on a series of debates in September has not altered the underlying partisan math or fundraising dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$53,273Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee’s 5th Congressional District race features Republican nominee Charlie Hatcher holding an 88.5% implied probability against Democrat Chaz Molder at 11.2%, reflecting the district’s strong Republican tilt after mid-cycle redistricting removed much of Nashville and added rural, agricultural counties. Hatcher secured the nomination by defeating incumbent Andy Ogles in the August 6 primary with 53.3% of the vote, bolstered by endorsements from Governor Bill Lee and other establishment figures. Molder advanced from the Democratic primary but faces a structurally disadvantaged path in a district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index favoring Republicans by double digits. Recent agreement on a series of debates in September has not altered the underlying partisan math or fundraising dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$53,273Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee’s 5th Congressional District race features Republican nominee Charlie Hatcher holding an 88.5% implied probability against Democrat Chaz Molder at 11.2%, reflecting the district’s strong Republican tilt after mid-cycle redistricting removed much of Nashville and added rural, agricultural counties. Hatcher secured the nomination by defeating incumbent Andy Ogles in the August 6 primary with 53.3% of the vote, bolstered by endorsements from Governor Bill Lee and other establishment figures. Molder advanced from the Democratic primary but faces a structurally disadvantaged path in a district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index favoring Republicans by double digits. Recent agreement on a series of debates in September has not altered the underlying partisan math or fundraising dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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