**Exceptional drought (D4) conditions remain limited but persistent in a handful of states as of early September 2026, with the U.S. Drought Monitor showing roughly 1.4% of the contiguous U.S. in D4 for the period centered on September 1.** Authoritative data from the National Drought Mitigation Center, NOAA, USDA, and NASA indicate D4 areas concentrated in portions of New Mexico, Idaho, Nevada, Nebraska, Arkansas, Mississippi, and North Carolina, driven by long-term precipitation deficits, elevated temperatures, and flash drought intensification across the south-central U.S. Hot, dry weather from Texas through the Mississippi Valley and into the central Plains has expanded or intensified drought categories in recent weeks, while scattered heavy rainfall brought localized improvements elsewhere. The weekly USDM update, released Thursdays with data valid through the prior Tuesday, incorporates soil moisture, streamflow, and impact reports; the map for the week of September 8 will reflect conditions through approximately September 8 and is expected around September 10. Traders should monitor the next release and any short-term precipitation forecasts, as rapid changes in flash drought zones can shift D4 boundaries before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSeca excepcional (D4) por estado — semana de 08 de setembro de 2026

Alabama
4%

Arizona
4%

Arkansas
95%

Califórnia
5%

Colorado
99%

Delaware
27%

Flórida
21%

Geórgia
26%

Idaho
96%

Illinois
4%

Indiana
6%

Iowa
25%

Kansas
5%

Kentucky
13%

Louisiana
5%

Maryland
26%

Minnesota
39%

Mississippi
61%

Missouri
39%

Montana
42%

Nebraska
60%

Nevada
76%

Nova Jersey
39%

Novo México
63%

Carolina do Norte
75%

Dakota do Norte
41%

Ohio
6%

Oklahoma
61%

Oregon
97%

Pensilvânia
24%

Carolina do Sul
39%

Dakota do Sul
39%

Tennessee
25%

Texas
62%

Utah
73%

Virgínia
7%

Washington
7%

Virgínia Ocidental
2%

Wisconsin
37%

Wyoming
38%
$2,723 Vol.

Alabama
4%

Arizona
4%

Arkansas
95%

Califórnia
5%

Colorado
99%

Delaware
27%

Flórida
21%

Geórgia
26%

Idaho
96%

Illinois
4%

Indiana
6%

Iowa
25%

Kansas
5%

Kentucky
13%

Louisiana
5%

Maryland
26%

Minnesota
39%

Mississippi
61%

Missouri
39%

Montana
42%

Nebraska
60%

Nevada
76%

Nova Jersey
39%

Novo México
63%

Carolina do Norte
75%

Dakota do Norte
41%

Ohio
6%

Oklahoma
61%

Oregon
97%

Pensilvânia
24%

Carolina do Sul
39%

Dakota do Sul
39%

Tennessee
25%

Texas
62%

Utah
73%

Virgínia
7%

Washington
7%

Virgínia Ocidental
2%

Wisconsin
37%

Wyoming
38%
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Colorado carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 8, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Colorado market and make no claim about Colorado's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 3, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxResolver
0x65070BE91...D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Colorado carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 8, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Colorado market and make no claim about Colorado's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Fonte de resolução
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxResolver
0x65070BE91...**Exceptional drought (D4) conditions remain limited but persistent in a handful of states as of early September 2026, with the U.S. Drought Monitor showing roughly 1.4% of the contiguous U.S. in D4 for the period centered on September 1.** Authoritative data from the National Drought Mitigation Center, NOAA, USDA, and NASA indicate D4 areas concentrated in portions of New Mexico, Idaho, Nevada, Nebraska, Arkansas, Mississippi, and North Carolina, driven by long-term precipitation deficits, elevated temperatures, and flash drought intensification across the south-central U.S. Hot, dry weather from Texas through the Mississippi Valley and into the central Plains has expanded or intensified drought categories in recent weeks, while scattered heavy rainfall brought localized improvements elsewhere. The weekly USDM update, released Thursdays with data valid through the prior Tuesday, incorporates soil moisture, streamflow, and impact reports; the map for the week of September 8 will reflect conditions through approximately September 8 and is expected around September 10. Traders should monitor the next release and any short-term precipitation forecasts, as rapid changes in flash drought zones can shift D4 boundaries before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions