Andrew Garbarino holds a strong position in New York’s 2nd congressional district, a South Shore Long Island seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. The incumbent Republican advanced unopposed through the June 2026 primaries, while Democrat Patrick Halpin, a former Suffolk County executive, also faced no primary contest after challengers were disqualified. Garbarino’s substantial fundraising edge—over $3.5 million raised compared with Halpin’s roughly $462,000—along with his prior 59.8% general-election margin and role chairing the House Homeland Security Committee reinforce trader consensus around his reelection prospects. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution date, with limited recent developments altering the district’s partisan baseline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNY-02 House Election Winner
NY-02 House Election Winner
$17,705 Vol.
$17,705 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Andrew Garbarino (R)
87%
Patrick Halpin (D)
14%
$17,705 Vol.
$17,705 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Andrew Garbarino (R)
$7,164 Vol.
87%
Patrick Halpin (D)
$10,541 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Andrew Garbarino holds a strong position in New York’s 2nd congressional district, a South Shore Long Island seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. The incumbent Republican advanced unopposed through the June 2026 primaries, while Democrat Patrick Halpin, a former Suffolk County executive, also faced no primary contest after challengers were disqualified. Garbarino’s substantial fundraising edge—over $3.5 million raised compared with Halpin’s roughly $462,000—along with his prior 59.8% general-election margin and role chairing the House Homeland Security Committee reinforce trader consensus around his reelection prospects. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution date, with limited recent developments altering the district’s partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$17,705Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Andrew Garbarino holds a strong position in New York’s 2nd congressional district, a South Shore Long Island seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. The incumbent Republican advanced unopposed through the June 2026 primaries, while Democrat Patrick Halpin, a former Suffolk County executive, also faced no primary contest after challengers were disqualified. Garbarino’s substantial fundraising edge—over $3.5 million raised compared with Halpin’s roughly $462,000—along with his prior 59.8% general-election margin and role chairing the House Homeland Security Committee reinforce trader consensus around his reelection prospects. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution date, with limited recent developments altering the district’s partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,705Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Andrew Garbarino holds a strong position in New York’s 2nd congressional district, a South Shore Long Island seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. The incumbent Republican advanced unopposed through the June 2026 primaries, while Democrat Patrick Halpin, a former Suffolk County executive, also faced no primary contest after challengers were disqualified. Garbarino’s substantial fundraising edge—over $3.5 million raised compared with Halpin’s roughly $462,000—along with his prior 59.8% general-election margin and role chairing the House Homeland Security Committee reinforce trader consensus around his reelection prospects. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution date, with limited recent developments altering the district’s partisan baseline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions