Adam Hamawy secured the Democratic nomination for New Jersey’s 12th congressional district in a June 2026 primary against a crowded field of more than a dozen candidates, benefiting from progressive endorsements, substantial fundraising exceeding $1 million, and significant super PAC support. The seat, covering parts of Mercer, Middlesex, Somerset, and Union counties, became open after the retirement of longtime Representative Bonnie Watson Coleman. Registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by more than two to one in the district, which has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Republican nominee Gregg Mele, an attorney who ran unopposed in his primary, faces structural disadvantages including limited name recognition and resources. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as major scandals, shifts in national conditions, or unusually high opposition turnout could still influence the November 3 outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa NJ-12
Vencedor da eleição da casa NJ-12
$24,473 Vol.
$24,473 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Adam Hamawy (D)
95%
Gregg Mele (R)
5%
$24,473 Vol.
$24,473 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Adam Hamawy (D)
$15,864 Vol.
95%
Gregg Mele (R)
$8,609 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adam Hamawy secured the Democratic nomination for New Jersey’s 12th congressional district in a June 2026 primary against a crowded field of more than a dozen candidates, benefiting from progressive endorsements, substantial fundraising exceeding $1 million, and significant super PAC support. The seat, covering parts of Mercer, Middlesex, Somerset, and Union counties, became open after the retirement of longtime Representative Bonnie Watson Coleman. Registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by more than two to one in the district, which has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Republican nominee Gregg Mele, an attorney who ran unopposed in his primary, faces structural disadvantages including limited name recognition and resources. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as major scandals, shifts in national conditions, or unusually high opposition turnout could still influence the November 3 outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$24,473Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adam Hamawy secured the Democratic nomination for New Jersey’s 12th congressional district in a June 2026 primary against a crowded field of more than a dozen candidates, benefiting from progressive endorsements, substantial fundraising exceeding $1 million, and significant super PAC support. The seat, covering parts of Mercer, Middlesex, Somerset, and Union counties, became open after the retirement of longtime Representative Bonnie Watson Coleman. Registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by more than two to one in the district, which has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Republican nominee Gregg Mele, an attorney who ran unopposed in his primary, faces structural disadvantages including limited name recognition and resources. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as major scandals, shifts in national conditions, or unusually high opposition turnout could still influence the November 3 outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,473Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Adam Hamawy secured the Democratic nomination for New Jersey’s 12th congressional district in a June 2026 primary against a crowded field of more than a dozen candidates, benefiting from progressive endorsements, substantial fundraising exceeding $1 million, and significant super PAC support. The seat, covering parts of Mercer, Middlesex, Somerset, and Union counties, became open after the retirement of longtime Representative Bonnie Watson Coleman. Registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by more than two to one in the district, which has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Republican nominee Gregg Mele, an attorney who ran unopposed in his primary, faces structural disadvantages including limited name recognition and resources. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as major scandals, shifts in national conditions, or unusually high opposition turnout could still influence the November 3 outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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