Anthropic’s rapid Opus iteration cycle drives current trader focus, with Claude Opus 5 launching July 24, 2026, as a cost-efficient model approaching Fable 5 capabilities on coding and knowledge benchmarks like Frontier-Bench while maintaining the same $5/$25 per million token pricing. The company delivered incremental Opus upgrades roughly every six to ten weeks through mid-2026 (Opus 4.6–4.8) before shifting to the 5-series flagship, reflecting emphasis on hybrid reasoning, effort controls, and agentic workflows amid competition from OpenAI and Google models. Recent Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 releases on September 1 signal ongoing 5-series refinement, though no official timeline exists for the next dedicated Opus update or higher-intelligence class. Traders monitor earnings calls, developer conferences, and benchmark reports for signals on release cadence or delays tied to safety evaluations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPróximo Claude Opus lançado por...?
Próximo Claude Opus lançado por...?
$99,288 Vol.
30 set 2026
30 de setembro
69%
31 de outubro
98%
31 de dezembro
99%
$99,288 Vol.
30 de setembro
$39,488 Vol.
69%
31 de outubro
$13,267 Vol.
98%
31 de dezembro
$5,019 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid Opus iteration cycle drives current trader focus, with Claude Opus 5 launching July 24, 2026, as a cost-efficient model approaching Fable 5 capabilities on coding and knowledge benchmarks like Frontier-Bench while maintaining the same $5/$25 per million token pricing. The company delivered incremental Opus upgrades roughly every six to ten weeks through mid-2026 (Opus 4.6–4.8) before shifting to the 5-series flagship, reflecting emphasis on hybrid reasoning, effort controls, and agentic workflows amid competition from OpenAI and Google models. Recent Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 releases on September 1 signal ongoing 5-series refinement, though no official timeline exists for the next dedicated Opus update or higher-intelligence class. Traders monitor earnings calls, developer conferences, and benchmark reports for signals on release cadence or delays tied to safety evaluations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Volume
$99,288Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid Opus iteration cycle drives current trader focus, with Claude Opus 5 launching July 24, 2026, as a cost-efficient model approaching Fable 5 capabilities on coding and knowledge benchmarks like Frontier-Bench while maintaining the same $5/$25 per million token pricing. The company delivered incremental Opus upgrades roughly every six to ten weeks through mid-2026 (Opus 4.6–4.8) before shifting to the 5-series flagship, reflecting emphasis on hybrid reasoning, effort controls, and agentic workflows amid competition from OpenAI and Google models. Recent Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 releases on September 1 signal ongoing 5-series refinement, though no official timeline exists for the next dedicated Opus update or higher-intelligence class. Traders monitor earnings calls, developer conferences, and benchmark reports for signals on release cadence or delays tied to safety evaluations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$99,288Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s rapid Opus iteration cycle drives current trader focus, with Claude Opus 5 launching July 24, 2026, as a cost-efficient model approaching Fable 5 capabilities on coding and knowledge benchmarks like Frontier-Bench while maintaining the same $5/$25 per million token pricing. The company delivered incremental Opus upgrades roughly every six to ten weeks through mid-2026 (Opus 4.6–4.8) before shifting to the 5-series flagship, reflecting emphasis on hybrid reasoning, effort controls, and agentic workflows amid competition from OpenAI and Google models. Recent Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 releases on September 1 signal ongoing 5-series refinement, though no official timeline exists for the next dedicated Opus update or higher-intelligence class. Traders monitor earnings calls, developer conferences, and benchmark reports for signals on release cadence or delays tied to safety evaluations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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