The ongoing State Duma election, held over three days ending September 20, 2026, features only Kremlin-aligned parties after Russia's Supreme Court disqualified Yabloko's federal list in August. United Russia leads preliminary results above 57 percent, while the CPRF, LDPR, New People, and A Just Russia appear on track to clear the five percent proportional threshold or win single-mandate districts based on early counts and historical patterns. Eleven parties registered without signature requirements, yet only these five systemic options hold realistic prospects of seats amid limited genuine opposition and institutional controls. Smaller lists remain well below viability thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$192,225 Vol.

Rússia Justa – Pelo Verdadeiro (SRZP)
99%

Rodina
99%

Yabloko
1%

Partido dos Aposentados da Rússia pela Justiça Social
1%

Partido Ecológico Russo "Os Verdes"
<1%
$192,225 Vol.

Rússia Justa – Pelo Verdadeiro (SRZP)
99%

Rodina
99%

Yabloko
1%

Partido dos Aposentados da Rússia pela Justiça Social
1%

Partido Ecológico Russo "Os Verdes"
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.
These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.
These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The ongoing State Duma election, held over three days ending September 20, 2026, features only Kremlin-aligned parties after Russia's Supreme Court disqualified Yabloko's federal list in August. United Russia leads preliminary results above 57 percent, while the CPRF, LDPR, New People, and A Just Russia appear on track to clear the five percent proportional threshold or win single-mandate districts based on early counts and historical patterns. Eleven parties registered without signature requirements, yet only these five systemic options hold realistic prospects of seats amid limited genuine opposition and institutional controls. Smaller lists remain well below viability thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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