Rashida Tlaib holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 12th Congressional District as the Democratic incumbent seeking a fifth term in a seat rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters, reflecting a partisan lean exceeding 20 points. She secured renomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 69-74 percent against state and local challengers, demonstrating consolidated support within the party. The Republican nominee, James Hooper, advanced unopposed but previously received only about 25 percent in 2024. Strong union endorsements and fundraising further reinforce trader consensus around her position ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could still alter the outcome, though the district’s structural advantages make such shifts improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara MI-12
Vencedor da eleição para a Câmara MI-12
$39,234 Vol.
$39,234 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Rashida Tlaib (D)
96%
James Hooper (R)
1%
$39,234 Vol.
$39,234 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Rashida Tlaib (D)
$21,751 Vol.
96%
James Hooper (R)
$17,483 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rashida Tlaib holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 12th Congressional District as the Democratic incumbent seeking a fifth term in a seat rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters, reflecting a partisan lean exceeding 20 points. She secured renomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 69-74 percent against state and local challengers, demonstrating consolidated support within the party. The Republican nominee, James Hooper, advanced unopposed but previously received only about 25 percent in 2024. Strong union endorsements and fundraising further reinforce trader consensus around her position ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could still alter the outcome, though the district’s structural advantages make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$39,234Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rashida Tlaib holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 12th Congressional District as the Democratic incumbent seeking a fifth term in a seat rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters, reflecting a partisan lean exceeding 20 points. She secured renomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 69-74 percent against state and local challengers, demonstrating consolidated support within the party. The Republican nominee, James Hooper, advanced unopposed but previously received only about 25 percent in 2024. Strong union endorsements and fundraising further reinforce trader consensus around her position ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could still alter the outcome, though the district’s structural advantages make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$39,234Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rashida Tlaib holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 12th Congressional District as the Democratic incumbent seeking a fifth term in a seat rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters, reflecting a partisan lean exceeding 20 points. She secured renomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 69-74 percent against state and local challengers, demonstrating consolidated support within the party. The Republican nominee, James Hooper, advanced unopposed but previously received only about 25 percent in 2024. Strong union endorsements and fundraising further reinforce trader consensus around her position ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could still alter the outcome, though the district’s structural advantages make such shifts improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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