Incumbent Ed Markey secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote against Rep. Seth Moulton, positioning him as the clear general-election favorite against Republican John Deaton. Massachusetts's consistent Democratic dominance in federal races, combined with recent polling averages showing Markey ahead by about 20 points, underpins the market's strong consensus on his reelection. Deaton, a repeat nominee, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democratic candidates routinely win by wide margins. Late-breaking developments such as major scandals, health events affecting the incumbent, or unexpected national political shifts remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 contest.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para o Senado de Massachusetts
Vencedor da eleição para o Senado de Massachusetts
$48,024 Vol.
$48,024 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Ed Markey (D)
97%
John Deaton (R)
2%
$48,024 Vol.
$48,024 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Ed Markey (D)
$35,054 Vol.
97%
John Deaton (R)
$12,970 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Ed Markey secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote against Rep. Seth Moulton, positioning him as the clear general-election favorite against Republican John Deaton. Massachusetts's consistent Democratic dominance in federal races, combined with recent polling averages showing Markey ahead by about 20 points, underpins the market's strong consensus on his reelection. Deaton, a repeat nominee, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democratic candidates routinely win by wide margins. Late-breaking developments such as major scandals, health events affecting the incumbent, or unexpected national political shifts remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$48,024Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Ed Markey secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote against Rep. Seth Moulton, positioning him as the clear general-election favorite against Republican John Deaton. Massachusetts's consistent Democratic dominance in federal races, combined with recent polling averages showing Markey ahead by about 20 points, underpins the market's strong consensus on his reelection. Deaton, a repeat nominee, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democratic candidates routinely win by wide margins. Late-breaking developments such as major scandals, health events affecting the incumbent, or unexpected national political shifts remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$48,024Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Ed Markey secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote against Rep. Seth Moulton, positioning him as the clear general-election favorite against Republican John Deaton. Massachusetts's consistent Democratic dominance in federal races, combined with recent polling averages showing Markey ahead by about 20 points, underpins the market's strong consensus on his reelection. Deaton, a repeat nominee, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democratic candidates routinely win by wide margins. Late-breaking developments such as major scandals, health events affecting the incumbent, or unexpected national political shifts remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 contest.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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