Incumbent Jim McGovern secured the Democratic nomination for Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district in the September 1 primary with nearly 100 percent of the vote, facing no meaningful opposition. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from major forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring McGovern at 94.5 percent. No Republican candidate filed for the November 3 general election, leaving the seat without a major-party challenger. This absence of competition, combined with the district's partisan voter index and McGovern's long incumbency, drives the market's assessment. Late developments such as an independent candidate surge, a significant personal or health event affecting the incumbent, or unforeseen shifts in turnout could still alter the outcome before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa MA-02
Vencedor da eleição da casa MA-02
$63,456 Vol.
$63,456 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jim McGovern (D)
95%
Partido Republicano
5%
$63,456 Vol.
$63,456 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jim McGovern (D)
$35,228 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$28,228 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim McGovern secured the Democratic nomination for Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district in the September 1 primary with nearly 100 percent of the vote, facing no meaningful opposition. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from major forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring McGovern at 94.5 percent. No Republican candidate filed for the November 3 general election, leaving the seat without a major-party challenger. This absence of competition, combined with the district's partisan voter index and McGovern's long incumbency, drives the market's assessment. Late developments such as an independent candidate surge, a significant personal or health event affecting the incumbent, or unforeseen shifts in turnout could still alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$63,456Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim McGovern secured the Democratic nomination for Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district in the September 1 primary with nearly 100 percent of the vote, facing no meaningful opposition. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from major forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring McGovern at 94.5 percent. No Republican candidate filed for the November 3 general election, leaving the seat without a major-party challenger. This absence of competition, combined with the district's partisan voter index and McGovern's long incumbency, drives the market's assessment. Late developments such as an independent candidate surge, a significant personal or health event affecting the incumbent, or unforeseen shifts in turnout could still alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$63,456Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Jim McGovern secured the Democratic nomination for Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district in the September 1 primary with nearly 100 percent of the vote, facing no meaningful opposition. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from major forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring McGovern at 94.5 percent. No Republican candidate filed for the November 3 general election, leaving the seat without a major-party challenger. This absence of competition, combined with the district's partisan voter index and McGovern's long incumbency, drives the market's assessment. Late developments such as an independent candidate surge, a significant personal or health event affecting the incumbent, or unforeseen shifts in turnout could still alter the outcome before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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