Current forecast models from sources like DWD and international ensembles point to a minimum temperature in Munich on September 11 near 9–12 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the climatological average low of 10.6 °C and keeps probabilities concentrated on single-digit to low-teen outcomes, while the elevated share for 15 °C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in overnight cooling rates and the lower weighting for 5 °C or below accounts for the low likelihood of strong cold advection this late in the season. Updated model runs and any shifts in high-pressure positioning will be the key near-term drivers of market adjustments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Munique no dia 11 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Munique no dia 11 de setembro?
15°C ou mais 75%
5°C ou menos 28%
9°C 27%
8°C 25%
NOVO
NOVO
11 set 2026
5°C ou menos
28%
6°C
11%
7°C
22%
8°C
25%
9°C
27%
10°C
25%
11°C
20%
12°C
3%
13°C
14%
14°C
14%
15°C ou mais
75%
15°C ou mais 75%
5°C ou menos 28%
9°C 27%
8°C 25%
NOVO
NOVO
11 set 2026
5°C ou menos
$13 Vol.
28%
6°C
$13 Vol.
11%
7°C
$0 Vol.
22%
8°C
$0 Vol.
25%
9°C
$0 Vol.
27%
10°C
$0 Vol.
25%
11°C
$0 Vol.
20%
12°C
$571 Vol.
3%
13°C
$0 Vol.
14%
14°C
$0 Vol.
14%
15°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
75%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like DWD and international ensembles point to a minimum temperature in Munich on September 11 near 9–12 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the climatological average low of 10.6 °C and keeps probabilities concentrated on single-digit to low-teen outcomes, while the elevated share for 15 °C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in overnight cooling rates and the lower weighting for 5 °C or below accounts for the low likelihood of strong cold advection this late in the season. Updated model runs and any shifts in high-pressure positioning will be the key near-term drivers of market adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$596Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like DWD and international ensembles point to a minimum temperature in Munich on September 11 near 9–12 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the climatological average low of 10.6 °C and keeps probabilities concentrated on single-digit to low-teen outcomes, while the elevated share for 15 °C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in overnight cooling rates and the lower weighting for 5 °C or below accounts for the low likelihood of strong cold advection this late in the season. Updated model runs and any shifts in high-pressure positioning will be the key near-term drivers of market adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$596Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like DWD and international ensembles point to a minimum temperature in Munich on September 11 near 9–12 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the climatological average low of 10.6 °C and keeps probabilities concentrated on single-digit to low-teen outcomes, while the elevated share for 15 °C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in overnight cooling rates and the lower weighting for 5 °C or below accounts for the low likelihood of strong cold advection this late in the season. Updated model runs and any shifts in high-pressure positioning will be the key near-term drivers of market adjustments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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