**Persistent cloud cover and frequent showers from the southwest monsoon are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Manila, producing expected minimum temperatures clustered around 24–25°C.** Official forecasts from sources including PAGASA-aligned models and international guidance show overnight lows near 24–26°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with high humidity (often 90%+), which traps heat and prevents stronger drops. Historical September baselines average about 24.8°C, and current conditions align closely with this without major deviations from steering patterns or intensification. The tight market split between 24°C (50.5%) and 23°C (42.5%) reflects minor model differences in shower timing and boundary-layer mixing that could tip the final 24-hour low by one degree, with resolution depending on the precise minimum recorded at official stations before midnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Manila no dia 10 de setembro?
24°C 51%
23°C 43%
20°C ou menos <1%
21°C <1%
20°C ou menos
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
43%
24°C
51%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou mais
<1%
24°C 51%
23°C 43%
20°C ou menos <1%
21°C <1%
20°C ou menos
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
43%
24°C
51%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover and frequent showers from the southwest monsoon are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Manila, producing expected minimum temperatures clustered around 24–25°C.** Official forecasts from sources including PAGASA-aligned models and international guidance show overnight lows near 24–26°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with high humidity (often 90%+), which traps heat and prevents stronger drops. Historical September baselines average about 24.8°C, and current conditions align closely with this without major deviations from steering patterns or intensification. The tight market split between 24°C (50.5%) and 23°C (42.5%) reflects minor model differences in shower timing and boundary-layer mixing that could tip the final 24-hour low by one degree, with resolution depending on the precise minimum recorded at official stations before midnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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